ITS4.25/NH13.13 | Marine Geohazards in the Aegean Sea: Transdisciplinary Approaches to Cascading Extreme Events, Early Warning, and Societal Resilience
EDI
Marine Geohazards in the Aegean Sea: Transdisciplinary Approaches to Cascading Extreme Events, Early Warning, and Societal Resilience
Convener: Jan Oliver EisermannECSECS | Co-conveners: Piero BellanovaECSECS, Paraskevi Nomikou, Jens Karstens
Orals
| Fri, 08 May, 08:30–10:15 (CEST)
 
Room 2.17
Posters on site
| Attendance Fri, 08 May, 10:45–12:30 (CEST) | Display Fri, 08 May, 08:30–12:30
 
Hall X3
Orals |
Fri, 08:30
Fri, 10:45
The Aegean Sea is a dynamic convergent-margin exhibiting shallow subduction, back-arc volcanism and a long history of coupled geo-marine extreme events, including earthquakes, volcanic activity, submarine landslides, and tsunamis. These extreme events often occur in a cascading manner, posing a significant hazard to densely populated coastal areas, tourism-focused economies and critical infrastructure. To understand, characterize and mitigate the compounding hazards requires a transdisciplinary approach, integrating marine earth sciences, geophysics, hazard modelling, social sciences, engineering and stakeholder engagement to foster participatory research in the Aegean Sea.
This session invites contributions (particularly from Early Career Scientists), that will broaden and deepen scientific and societal understanding of marine and coastal geohazards in the Aegean Sea, adjacent Mediterranean regions and similar environments worldwide.
Topics of interest include:
• Geohazard processes and cascading events: seismic, volcanic, and submarine mechanisms leading to multi-hazard cascades, such as tsunamis.
• Monitoring and early warning systems: advances in seafloor instrumentation, seismic and geodetic networks, satellite remote sensing, and real-time modeling.
• Scenario development and risk assessment: earthquake, landslides, tsunami and coupled simulations, probabilistic hazard assessments, and uncertainty quantifications.
• Societal integration and resilience: participatory approaches, co-designed risk strategies, innovative communication tools (e.g., Augmented and Virtual Realities), and their applications to tourism, public safety and cultural heritage protection.
• Comparative perspectives from other tectonically active coastal regions.
This session builds on the ongoing MULTI-MAREX consortium of the German Marine Research Alliance’s (DAM) third research mission, which is developing integrated 'living laboratories' in the Aegean Sea to study and communicate risks of cascading marine geohazards. We encourage contributions from other research initiatives and independent studies, providing a platform for transdisciplinary exchange and dialogue between geoscientists, engineers, social scientists, tourism researchers and stakeholders.

Orals: Fri, 8 May, 08:30–10:15 | Room 2.17

The oral presentations are given in a hybrid format supported by a Zoom meeting featuring on-site and virtual presentations. The button to access the Zoom meeting appears just before the time block starts.
Chairpersons: Jan Oliver Eisermann, Piero Bellanova, Paraskevi Nomikou
08:30–08:35
08:35–08:55
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EGU26-5822
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solicited
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Christian Hübscher, Carina Dittmers, Carolin Egelhof, Jan Oliver Eisermann, Jonathan Ford, Annalena Friedrich, Felix Gross, Benedikt Haimerl, Matthias Hartge, Janina Kreh, Steffen Kutterolf, Amalia-Georgia Papazoi, Christian Theden, Sebastian Krastel, and Scientific Party

The seafloor of the southern Aegean Sea is shaped by potentially hazardous Earth processes, including submarine volcanism, active plate tectonics, and mass wasting. The MULTI-MAREX research project of the German Marine Research Alliance (DAM) aims to improve the assessment of geomarine extreme events in the region and to develop mitigation strategies through a living-lab approach. During MULTI-MAREX cruise 2 (RV MARIA S. MERIAN expedition MSM135), nearly 5,000 km of 2D multichannel seismic reflection profiles were acquired, complemented by hydroacoustic and magnetic data as well as geological sampling. Although data analysis is ongoing, several key findings already emerge.

Submarine volcanism: Seismic data calibrated with results from IODP Expedition 398 allow, for the first time, a systematic discrimination between effusive and explosive submarine volcanic products. This approach is applied to the Pausanias volcanic field (Saronic Gulf), where some volcanic edifices initially formed during likely phreatomagmatic eruptions before transitioning to weak explosive or effusive activity. A comparable evolutionary pattern is observed for cones of the Kolumbo volcanic chain, where an initial explosive phase is revealed exclusively by the new seismic data. A dense seismic grid in the eastern Christiana Basin, which hosts 10 volcanic cones beside the Christiana volcano itself, enables a partially dated reconstruction of volcano-tectonic evolution and its links to Santorini and Kolumbo (Hartge et al., this session). Integrated seismic and magnetic interpretation further identifies a previously undocumented submarine caldera south of Milos. The associated phreatomagmatic eruption may have generated the Green Lahar deposits on Milos (T. Cavailhes, pers. comm.). Hydrothermal alteration of volcanic cones is suggested as a potential trigger for flank instability and collapse. A previously unknown submarine crater exceeding 2 km in diameter with collapsed flanks was discovered near Kos. All these observations indicate that explosive submarine volcanism represents a previously underestimated geohazard along the South Aegean Volcanic Arc.

Tectonics: Reflection seismic profiles from the Epidavros Basin provide a revised interpretation of two previously identified NW-SE-striking fault systems. The complex geometry, characterized by alternating dip directions, resembles fault patterns associated with lateral spreading (cf. Friedrich et al., this session). We propose that tephra layers from the early volcanic phase of Methana act as mechanically weak detachment horizons. Ongoing analyses focus on active fault systems surrounding Milos, Kos, Nisyros, and Yali. The investigation of active fault systems around Crete concentrated on the Ierapetra and Messara fault zones where recent tectonics are particularly pronounced. It has been shown that marine seismic and hydroacoustic methods are particularly effective for analyzing tectonic processes due to the high sedimentation rate in marine environments.

Submarine landslides: Submarine mass-wasting processes were systematically investigated offshore Crete (cf. Theden et al., this session). Acoustic mapping enabled the compilation of an integrated geomorphological map, revealing pronounced spatial variability in landslide occurrence. Landslides cluster along parts of the southern Cretan slope and the northern to northwestern flanks of Gavdos, whereas other sectors show a near absence of slope-failure features. These differences likely reflect variations in slope gradient, sediment supply, tectonic activity, and hydrodynamic conditions.

How to cite: Hübscher, C., Dittmers, C., Egelhof, C., Eisermann, J. O., Ford, J., Friedrich, A., Gross, F., Haimerl, B., Hartge, M., Kreh, J., Kutterolf, S., Papazoi, A.-G., Theden, C., Krastel, S., and Party, S.: Assessing Potential Geo-Hazards Along the Aegean Volcanic Arc – First Results From MULTI-MAREX-2 Expedition (March–April 2025), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5822, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5822, 2026.

08:55–09:00
09:00–09:10
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EGU26-11338
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Jan-Phillip Föst, Joachim R. R. Ritter, Christos P. Evangelidis, Efthimios Sokos, Nicole Richter, and Klaus R. Reicherter

The western Saronic Gulf is part of the active South Aegean Volcanic Arc and hosts the dormant Methana volcanic system and the adjacent submarine Pausanias Volcanic Field. Although Methana last erupted around 230 BCE, ongoing hydrothermal activity and the proximity to densely populated regions, including the greater Athens metropolitan area, motivate detailed seismic investigations. A key prerequisite for the precise location of microseismicity and potentially magmatic seismicity in this region is the availability of accurate regional P- and S-wave velocity models.

Within the framework of the Methana Magmatic Observational Experiment (MeMaX), we densified the regional seismic network to improve event detection, ray coverage and hypocentral resolution. Since 2019, six permanent seismic stations operated by the National Observatory of Athens and the University of Patras have been recording seismicity on Methana and the nearby Peloponnese mainland. In March 2024, this network was expanded by 15 temporary short-period seismic stations deployed across Methana, the islands of Aegina, Agistri, Kyra, and Poros, and the Peloponnese mainland, resulting in a dense network geometry. MeMaX is well suited for local earthquake detection, location and the inversion for seismic velocity models to outline active faults and possible magmatic activity.

Noise analyses indicate low background noise levels at most temporary stations, allowing the detection of low magnitude earthquakes. Using the recorded waveform data, we compile a high-quality dataset of local earthquakes for an enhanced event catalog. We apply machine learning for phase picking (PhaseNet) and robust event association (PyOcto). Hypocenter parameters are determined with NonLinLoc and quality is controlled by sorting out events with too large location uncertainties. The seismic arrival times provide the basis for the inversion of new minimum 1-D P- and S-wave velocity models and corresponding station delay times using VELEST. Numerous starting models are tested to sample the model space and assess uncertainties together with the best-fit models.

The resulting velocity models are used to relocate the seismicity with improved accuracy and to refine the spatial distribution of earthquakes beneath Methana and the western Saronic Gulf. MeMaX thus establishes a robust seismological framework for future high resolution relative relocations, fault imaging, and the investigation of potential deep low frequency seismicity in this part of the South Aegean Volcanic Arc.

This study was supported by grant no. FKZ: 03F0952C of the German Federal Ministry of Research, Technology and Space (BMFTR) as part of the DAM mission “mareXtreme”, project MULTI-MAREX.

How to cite: Föst, J.-P., Ritter, J. R. R., Evangelidis, C. P., Sokos, E., Richter, N., and Reicherter, K. R.: Precise Earthquake Distribution and Seismic Velocity Models in the Western Saronic Gulf, Greece, based on the MeMaX Experiment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11338, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11338, 2026.

09:10–09:20
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EGU26-21388
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Alice Abbate, Andrey Babeyko, Hafize Basak Bayraktar, Antonio Scala, Stefano Lorito, and Nikos Kalligeris

Tsunamis are among the most impactful natural hazards, yet their rarity results in incomplete historical and instrumental records. Tsunami hazard assessment is therefore strongly affected by uncertainties, mainly related to the source representation. For earthquake-generated tsunamis, the location of future ruptures and their rupture characteristics (geometry, kinematics, slip distribution) is poorly constrained, leading to some subjective choices regarding the source representation. A probabilistic approach allows us to formally incorporate these uncertainties and to calculate the probability that a given tsunami intensity measure will be exceeded at a target location within a specified time window.

The MULTI-MAREX project established two living-labs in Greece, with the purpose of strengthening preparedness and awareness of natural hazards from marine environments. For these two sites, we estimate the offshore hazard from earthquake-generated tsunamis from different source representations. We adopt the regional probabilistic NEAMTHM18 model to select most representative sources based on de-aggregation analysis. These include interface subduction earthquakes, mainly associated with the Hellenic Arc, and both strike- and dip-slip crustal earthquakes distributed over the region. Source geometries are derived from the mean values of established scaling relationships between fault parameters and earthquake magnitude, and alternative scaling relationships. To explore the sensitivity of tsunami hazard estimates to earthquake source variability, we perturb the selected source geometries by considering further alternative scaling relationships and their associated uncertainties, rather than only the mean values.

In addition, we provide a preliminary assessment of the impact of constraining scenarios to a mapped offshore fault in the EFSM20. This provides the basis to verify the effect of including more mapped faults in NEAMTHM18, which is an improvement in principle, provided that faults are well-mapped. This work complements ongoing research in Sicily (within a Transnational Access provided by the Geo-INQUIRE project), where the influence of source scaling laws on both offshore and onshore probabilistic tsunami hazard is explored using nested high-resolution grids. At the MULTI-MAREX sites, offshore-only analyses are performed, yet using much higher resolutions to simulate the offshore propagation.

This work is contributing to enhancing  project tsunami scenario databank by better accounting for source-related uncertaintiest, that finds applications in high-resolution inundation modelling for onshore tsunami hazard and virtual reality modelling.

How to cite: Abbate, A., Babeyko, A., Bayraktar, H. B., Scala, A., Lorito, S., and Kalligeris, N.: Exploring earthquake source uncertainty in probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21388, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21388, 2026.

09:20–09:30
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EGU26-17921
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Maja Gieseking, Mario Welzel, Torsten Schlurmann, and Christian Jordan

Tsunami wave amplification in semi-enclosed coastal basins is fundamentally influenced by resonance effects, as the local geometry and bathymetry determine the hydrodynamic response to an incoming tsunami wave. Previous research studies emphasize that the shape of the basin and its bathymetric features often exert a more decisive influence on the resulting coastal impact than the characteristics of the seismic source itself.  This study investigates the natural oscillation modes of the Messiniakos Gulf, a deep semi-enclosed basin on the peninsula Peloponnese, Greece, to characterise the spatial distribution of tsunami amplitudes from near-by tectonic sources and its implications for coastal hazard assessment.

We employed a Delft3D Flexible Mesh model of the Messiniakos Gulf to determine the natural oscillation modes of the gulf. For this purpose, we analysed a set of tsunami events using the Okada approach, with different source locations and fault parameterisations within the subduction zone of the Western Hellenic Arc. The numerical outputs were validated against background spectra derived from long-term tidal gauge records at Kalamata harbour, located at the north coast of the gulf.

Our results show a high correlation between the observed and simulated spectral peaks, indicating that the resonance periods in the Messiniakos Gulf remain stable across all tested scenarios. This suggests that the local bathymetry and the resulting natural modes have a greater influence on the propagation patterns and spectral distribution of the tsunami energy at the coast than the source mechanism itself.
The results further demonstrate that the impact of a tsunami shows significant spatial variability across the gulf. While the oscillation period remains consistent throughout the basin, energy concentrates at specific coastal areas, and can lead to extreme local wave heights that may even persist for longer time spans than the original wave itself. In contrast, other areas remain relatively unaffected. Identifying these high-amplification zones is essential for hazard assessment, as it provides a basis for local evacuation planning and effective early warning strategies.

How to cite: Gieseking, M., Welzel, M., Schlurmann, T., and Jordan, C.: Tsunami Resonance and Wave Amplification in Semi-enclosed Basins: A case study of the Messiniakos Gulf, Greece, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17921, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17921, 2026.

09:30–09:35
09:35–09:45
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EGU26-5428
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Carina Dittmers, Christian Hübscher, Jonas Preine, Christian Berndt, and Jens Karstens

In the aftermath of the 2025 seismic crisis involving Santorini, the submarine volcano Kolumbo, and the Anhydros Ridge, several studies published earthquake hypocentre distribution maps interpreted as evidence for dike intrusion. Notably, the relocations by Isken et al. (2025) and Lomax et al. (2025) show that hypocentres cluster along the southern Anhydros Ridge. However, the two studies differ in their estimates of hypocentre depths and in their interpretations of how seismicity relates to the south-westward continuation of the Amorgos Fault along the ridge. The Amorgos Fault is well expressed in the bathymetry of northern Anhydros and was responsible for the devastating Mw 7.7 earthquake in 1956. Despite this, neither relocation directly correlates the 2025 seismicity with mapped tectonic faults in the southern Anhydros Ridge. Here we present a joint interpretation of multichannel reflection seismic data acquired during the 2025 MULTI-MAREX-research-cruise-2 (MSM135) aboard RV MARIA S. MERIAN together with reprocessed legacy seismic data from the University of Hamburg. These data reveal that the Amorgos Fault is connected south-westward along the Anhydros Ridge as a sediment filled crestal graben that is not expressed in bathymetry. The graben can be traced along the ridge and is defined by two oppositely dipping normal faults that dissect the ridge and are aligned with the regional extensional stress field. The crestal graben is parallel to the hypocentre alignment proposed by Lomax et al. (2025) and is most clearly developed where Isken et al. (2025) locate the shallowest seismicity close to the seafloor. Core-seismic integration with stratigraphic information from IODP 398 Site U1600 (Preine et al., 2025) indicates that graben opening occurred around 700-800 ka, a time period, in which the Archaeos eruption occurred. No subsequent fault activity is detectable in the seismic data, which have a vertical resolution of ~15 m. These observations suggest that the 2025 dike intrusion exploited a pre-existing zone of structural weakness, highlighting the importance of inherited volcano-tectonic structures in governing magma transport and seismicity in the Santorini–Kolumbo volcanic system.

 

Isken, M.P. et al. Volcanic crisis reveals coupled magma system at Santorini and Kolumbo. Nature 645, 939–945 (2025).

Lomax A. et al. The 2025 Santorini unrest unveiled: Rebounding magmatic dike intrusion with triggered seismicity. Science 390, eadz8538 (2025).

Preine, J. et al (2025). Data report: core-seismic integration and time-depth relationships at IODP Expedition 398 Hellenic Arc Volcanic Field sites. Texas A & M University.

How to cite: Dittmers, C., Hübscher, C., Preine, J., Berndt, C., and Karstens, J.: Archaeos-Age Amorgos Fault Prolongation Guiding 2025 Diking into Anhydros Ridge, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5428, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5428, 2026.

09:45–09:55
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EGU26-5382
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Annalena Friedrich, Christian Hübscher, Klaus Reicherter, Jan Oliver Eisermann, and Felix Gross

The Epidavros Basin in the Saronic Gulf is located in close proximity to active volcanic centers, including the Pausanias volcanic field. The Saronic Gulf is affected by extensional back-arc tectonism predominantly oriented N–S, while evidence for older E–W-directed rifting is also preserved. The Epidavros Basin is bounded to the north and south by NW–SE-striking fault systems. Previous studies have suggested the presence of additional NW–SE-striking fault patterns within the basin interior, which have been mapped and interpreted in differing ways. Within the framework of the MULTI-MAREX project, the MSM135 expedition aboard RV MARIA S. MERIAN in spring 2025 acquired the first high-resolution multichannel seismic reflection data covering the entire basin, enabling a reassessment of the intrabasinal deformation mechanisms and their relevance for submarine geohazards.

The time-migrated seismic data reveal two deformation zones comprising complex extensional fault systems, including listric normal faults, rotational fault blocks, and synthetic and antithetic connecting faults. Prolonged or recurrent growth faulting and recent activity are indicated by an increase in vertical fault displacement with depth, and by faults reaching the seafloor.

Such fault patterns are commonly associated with transtensional deformation and the development of negative flower structures. However, this interpretation is inconsistent with both the regional tectonic framework and the absence of seismological evidence within the Epidavros Basin. The observed fault architecture is consistent with lateral spreading above a mechanically weak detachment layer. We propose Early Pleistocene tephra deposits from explosive Methana volcanism as the primary detachment horizon. Chaotic seismic reflection patterns beneath the faulted sedimentary cover, comparable to tephra facies documented during IODP Expedition 398, support this interpretation. Lateral spreading is likely facilitated by regional NE–SW extension and could promote submarine slope instability, fault-controlled seafloor deformation, and localized mass wasting.

Amplitude anomalies associated with near-vertical pipe structures and laterally confined chaotic zones in the overlying sediments are interpreted as tephra injections, some of which likely extruded at the paleo-seafloor. These features indicate fluid- and sediment-mobilization processes that may further weaken the basin fill.

Due to the presence of a mechanically weak décollement, lateral spreading can be initiated not only by large-scale basement extension but also by earthquake activity, volcanic eruptions, or fluid migration into the weak zone. Our results suggest that lateral spreading above volcanic tephra may represent a previously unrecognized geohazard in the Saronic Gulf, particularly in settings where mechanically competent lava flows overlie mechanically weak tephra deposits. This may be particularly relevant for populated coastal regions located in close proximity to volcanic flanks.

How to cite: Friedrich, A., Hübscher, C., Reicherter, K., Eisermann, J. O., and Gross, F.: Lateral Spreading Above Volcanic Tephra as a Potential Geohazard in the Epidavros Basin (Saronic Gulf, Greece), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5382, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5382, 2026.

09:55–10:05
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EGU26-5820
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Matthias Hartge, Christian Hübscher, Jonas Preine, Carina Dittmers, Jan Oliver Eisermann, Felix Gross, and Steffen Kutterolf

The South Aegean Volcanic Arc (Greece) is among the most active volcanic systems in Europe and poses an ideal natural laboratory to study the interplay of volcanism and tectonics as drivers of explosive eruptions, earthquakes, submarine landslides and tsunamis. This study focuses on a structurally independent sub-basin in the eastern Christiana Basin, located between the Christiana and Santorini island groups and southeast of the regionally significant Christiana Fault. Although the Christiana-Santorini-Kolumbo volcanic field has been extensively investigated, this basin has not yet been specifically targeted in a comprehensive study.

During the MULTI-MAREX research cruise 2 (MSM135), nearly 640 km of hydroacoustic and 2D multi-channel seismic reflection data were acquired across the eastern Christiana Basin. The MSM135 seismic grid provides increased profile density and signal penetration and establishes a connection with the IODP 398 sites U1591 and U1598. Using the prominent Archaeos Tuff (765 ka) as a marker unit, we updated and harmonised the regional seismostratigraphic model. We refine the estimated volume of the Archaeos Tuff, and map deposits of the Poseidon eruption, providing an initial minimum bulk-volume estimate of 9 km³.

We discovered a syncline, measuring around 8 km in diameter, beneath the almost flat seafloor. The Archaeos Tuff drapes a pre-existing central cone in a W-shaped geometry and reaches a maximum thickness of almost 200 m near the central cone. The syncline accommodates an additional 500 m of post-Archaeos deposits, primarily the Thera Pyroclastic Formation. The infill transitions quickly from an undulating W-shape to a horizontal stratification, indicating short-lived sag-style subsidence. To the northwest, the syncline is bounded by a major fault system, dubbed Thera Fault System, that strikes parallel to the Christiana Fault exhibiting vertical offsets of up to 160 m. Like the Christiana Fault, the Thera Fault System is likely a continuation of the normal faults northeast of Santorini.

The seismostratigraphic model constrains the timing of eruptive and tectonic events, assembled in a comprehensive timeline. We date the activity of at least 10 previously little-considered volcanic cones near the margin of the basin to the Late Pleistocene, based on their relative position between known stratigraphic units. Our findings imply a slow, continuous down-faulting at the Christiana Fault, likely related to the rift extension in the region, whereas the Thera Fault System faulted in two stages of shorter duration. The timing of the subsidence coincides approximately with the first explosive eruption cycle on Santorini.

How to cite: Hartge, M., Hübscher, C., Preine, J., Dittmers, C., Eisermann, J. O., Gross, F., and Kutterolf, S.: Volcano-Tectonic Evolution of the Eastern Christiana Basin (South Aegean Volcanic Arc): Insights from the MULTI-MAREX cruise 2, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5820, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5820, 2026.

10:05–10:15
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EGU26-14240
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Effrosyni Varotsou, Jens Karstens, Gareth Crutchley, Morelia Urlaub, Christian Berndt, Paraskevi Nomikou, Bruna Pandolpho, and Heidrun Kopp

The Santorini–Amorgos Tectonic Zone in the South Aegean Sea is a major hotspot for marine geohazards, where strong earthquakes, pronounced deformation, and tsunamis interact within an actively extending back-arc setting. The 1956 tsunamigenic Mw 7.5 Amorgos earthquake stands out as the largest instrumented earthquake in the region during the 20th century. While previous focal mechanism analyses have provided a good characterization of the seismogenic source as a NE-striking extensional rupture, little is known about the shallow deformation occurring within the upper kilometer below the seafloor. This shallow deformation associated with this large normal-fault earthquake is of fundamental importance for investigating tsunami triggers.

Previous interpretations of 2D seismic, bathymetric, and ROV data provided first-order insight into the regional tectonic framework, but the geometry and segmentation of the fault system could not be fully characterised due to the sparsely spaced profiles. Here, we present newly acquired high-resolution 3D seismic data, integrated with detailed seafloor mapping to unravel the shallow structural configuration and deformation of the southwestern part of the Amorgos Fault Zone, close to the epicentral area of the 1956 earthquake.

Detailed seismic interpretation and seismic attribute analysis reveal distinct segmentation of the shallow part of the fault system and spatially heterogeneous shallow deformation. Our analyses are aimed at shedding light on the specific shallow rupture patterns that triggered the tsunami and, in particular, determining why there was strong regional variability in tsunami run-up heights reported along the surrounding coasts. Our work will help to improve the understanding of how large normal fault ruptures can generate hazardous tsunamis. 

How to cite: Varotsou, E., Karstens, J., Crutchley, G., Urlaub, M., Berndt, C., Nomikou, P., Pandolpho, B., and Kopp, H.: Shallow structural deformation associated with the 1956 Amorgos Earthquake, Aegean Sea - an investigation from 3D seismic reflection data , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14240, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14240, 2026.

Posters on site: Fri, 8 May, 10:45–12:30 | Hall X3

The posters scheduled for on-site presentation are only visible in the poster hall in Vienna. If authors uploaded their presentation files, these files are linked from the abstracts below.
Display time: Fri, 8 May, 08:30–12:30
Chairpersons: Jens Karstens, Jan Oliver Eisermann, Piero Bellanova
Geohazard processes and cascading events
X3.93
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EGU26-8078
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ECS
Janina Kreh, Christian Hübscher, Udo Barckhausen, Emilie Hooft, and Jonas Preine

Several recent studies interpret the earthquake swarm observed in early 2025 on the Anhydros Horst in the South Aegean Volcanic Arc as the result of magma-filled dike intrusion. Magnetic data acquired in 2015 during the PROTEUS cruise revealed that the part of the Anhydros Horst where earthquake hypocenters were shallowest below the seafloor (Isken et al., 2025) occurred northwest of a pronounced magnetic anomaly. This led to the hypothesis that the anomaly reflects cooled magmatic material and that the 2025 seismic crisis was associated with renewed magma accumulation.

Here, we present a joint interpretation of the 2015 magnetic dataset and newly acquired marine magnetic and 2D multichannel seismic reflection data collected during MULTI-MAREX research cruise 2 (MSM135) aboard RV MARIA S. MERIAN in 2025. The renewed magnetic survey of the Anhydros Horst aimed to better constrain the location and geometry of the inferred dike by comparing magnetic anomalies measured in 2015 and 2025.

All magnetic data were processed using a standardized Python-based workflow including IGRF removal, diurnal variation correction, and bandpass filtering. Although differences between the two magnetic datasets are observed, they are best explained by variations in acquisition geometry and instrumentation rather than temporal changes in subsurface magnetization. Forward modeling demonstrates that the proposed dike width of 3–5 m would be insufficient to generate a detectable magnetic anomaly at the seafloor.

Integrated interpretation of the magnetic data with multichannel seismic profiles from the University of Hamburg and constraints from Site U1600 from IODP Expedition 398 (Kutterolf et al., 2024), suggests that the magnetic anomaly is instead generated by ultramafic basement located only a few hundred meters below the seafloor. The top of this body is marked by strong seismic reflection amplitudes. We interpret the ultramafic basement as part of an ophiolite complex. While ophiolites are documented on the Greek mainland and several Aegean islands, submarine ophiolitic occurrences within the Aegean Sea have not previously been described. Generally, the emplacement of the ophiolitic body has been interpreted as related to subduction processes during the closure of the Vardar Ocean.

This study demonstrates that marine magnetic data, when jointly interpreted with seismic observations and seafloor sampling, provide important constraints on crustal composition and significantly contribute to the reconstruction of plate-tectonic evolution in complex volcanic arc settings.

 

Isken, M.P., Karstens, J., Nomikou, P. et al. Volcanic crisis reveals coupled magma system at Santorini and Kolumbo. Nature 645, 939–945 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-09525-7

Kutterolf, S., Druitt, T. H., Ronge, T. A., Beethe, S., Bernard, A., Berthod, C., ... & Yamamoto, Y. (2024). Site U1600. Proceedings of the International Ocean Discovery Program Expedition reports398(114).

How to cite: Kreh, J., Hübscher, C., Barckhausen, U., Hooft, E., and Preine, J.: Magnetic Anomaly of the Anhydros Horst (Southern Aegean Volcanic Arc): Diking or Ophiolites?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8078, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8078, 2026.

X3.94
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EGU26-5513
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ECS
Christian Theden, Jan Oliver Eisermann, Felix Gross, Christian Hübscher, and Sebastian Krastel

The island of Crete is located in the eastern Mediterranean along an active convergent margin characterized by high sedimentation rates, steep submarine slopes, and frequent seismicity. These conditions favour submarine mass wasting processes, which represent a significant geohazard due to their potential to trigger tsunamis and damage offshore infrastructure. Despite this, a systematic inventory of hazard-related seafloor features along the Cretan margin is limited.

Therefore, we present a geomorphological map of the Cretan offshore region. This map is based on high-level multibeam data and sub-bottom profiler data. The data is primarily acquired during the R/V Maria S. Merian cruise MSM135. Analysis of this data allowed us to identify various features such as landslide scars and recognize spatial patterns. Further features such as channels and blocky slope deposits were also inventoried. The landslides scars are clustered primarily in the southwest and northeast of Crete, while the channels are mainly found in the north to northwest.

To assess the tsunamigenic potential of these landslides, different underwater slope scenarios were simulated using the L-HySEA model. The results of this simulation show maximum wave heights of 0.4 to 5.5 m near the coast, highlighting the potential hazard posed by submarine slope instabilities along the Cretan margin.

How to cite: Theden, C., Eisermann, J. O., Gross, F., Hübscher, C., and Krastel, S.: Inventory of potential geohazard-related seafloor features along the Cretan margin (Eastern Mediterranean), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5513, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5513, 2026.

X3.95
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EGU26-2608
Paraskevi Nomikou, Danai Lampridou, Konstantina Bejelou, Kyriaki Drymoni, Anna Katsigera, Stavroula Kazana, Varvara Antoniou, and Dimitrios Papanikolaou

The Hellenic Volcanic Arc (HVA) is one of the most geodynamically active regions in the Mediterranean, where crustal extension, magma migration, and active faulting interact to generate interconnected and cascading geohazards. These include earthquakes, explosive volcanic eruptions, caldera and flank collapses, submarine landslides, tsunamis, and intense hydrothermal activity. Extending from Methana to Kos and Nisyros, the arc hosts major volcanic centers that display variable levels of deformation, seismicity, and hydrothermal discharge, reflecting ongoing magmatic and tectonic processes.

Explosive eruptions have repeatedly reshaped both island landscapes and the surrounding seafloor. Santorini remains the most hazardous volcanic center, having produced multiple caldera-forming eruptions. Similarly, the Kos Plateau Tuff eruption (~161 ka) demonstrated that pyroclastic flows entering the sea can transform into turbidity currents, depositing widespread ash layers across the southern Aegean and extending the hazard footprint far beyond the eruptive source. These coupled subaerial–submarine processes directly influence coastal stability, sediment redistribution, and tsunami generation.

Recent unrest highlights the arc’s potential for rapid escalation. The 2011–2012 Santorini unrest marked the first major magmatic recharge since 1950, while the 2024–2025 Santorini–Kolumbo volcano-tectonic crisis revealed strong dynamic coupling between adjacent systems, underscoring the vulnerability of nearby coastal communities. In parallel, large-scale flank collapses and submarine debris avalanches represent a major hazard class. During the 1650 AD eruption of Kolumbo, approximately 1.2 km³ of material detached from the volcanic flank, generating a destructive tsunami. Comparable mass-wasting features have been identified off Antimilos, Santorini, Methana, and Nisyros.

Extensive hydrothermal activity across the arc, from low-temperature venting within the Santorini caldera to the high-temperature hydrothermal field of Kolumbo and widespread venting around Milos, reflects sustained magmatic heat flow and affects slope stability and seawater chemistry. Integrating high-resolution morpho-bathymetric data with seismic, geodetic, and remote-sensing observations is therefore essential for improving hazard assessment, early-warning capabilities, and resilient coastal-zone management along the Hellenic Volcanic Arc.

How to cite: Nomikou, P., Lampridou, D., Bejelou, K., Drymoni, K., Katsigera, A., Kazana, S., Antoniou, V., and Papanikolaou, D.: Interacting Volcanic, Tectonic, and Submarine Geohazards in the Hellenic Volcanic Arc, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2608, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2608, 2026.

Scenario development and risk assessment
X3.96
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EGU26-10228
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ECS
Aliki Arianoutsou, Piero Bellanova, Kim Josephine Louis, Sara Trotta, Ioannis Papanikolaou, and Klaus Reicherter

Strongyli Lagoon, in the Vatika Bay, is a highly dynamic coastal wetland, located along the forearc of the Hellenic Subduction Zone, one of the most tsunamigenic regions in the Mediterranean. The combined effects of local tectonic activity, isostatic sea-level change, coastal morphodynamics, and multiple extreme wave events have shaped the bay. This study explores the sedimentary archives of the western Vatika Bay to reconstruct the paleoenvironment and identify sedimentary signatures of extreme wave events, contributing to the broader understanding of marine geohazards in Greece.

A multi-proxy analysis was carried out on four sediment cores recovered from the eastern and western margins of Strongyli Lagoon, including granulometry, magnetic susceptibility, inorganic geochemistry, micropaleontology, and radiocarbon dating, allowing a detailed characterization of the depositional facies and high-energy event history.

The stratigraphic record reveals a gradual transition from an alluvial plain dominated by terrigenous input to present-day coastal plain conditions influenced by lagoonal and aeolian sedimentation. Within the sedimentary sequence, three distinct event layers exhibit significantly different properties from the background sediments, presenting several tsunami related features, such as fining upwards and landward-thinning sequences, erosive basal contacts, sharp increases in foraminiferal abundances, and elevated marine geochemical concentrations and ratios (e.g., Ca, Sr, S, Ca/Ti, Ca/Fe, Ca/Al, Sr/Al).

The oldest high-energy event deposit, recorded on the eastern margin of the lagoon, corresponds to the well-documented 365 CE tsunami in the Aegean Sea. On the western margin of the lagoon, an abrupt change in the depositional environment dated to between the 5th and 10th centuries could reflect localized co-seismic vertical movements linked to normal faulting that generated a small-scale marine inundation, rather than a major tsunami event. A younger event deposit identified on the eastern margin of the lagoon, dated between the 19th and 20th centuries CE, is marked by subtle marine geochemical signals, but exceptionally abundant deep-water foraminiferal assemblages, indicating an offshore sediment source and high-energy marine incursion.

Overall, Strongyli Lagoon preserves a detailed and spatially variable record of the Late Holocene coastal evolution and the marine extreme wave event history of the Vatika Bay. This research highlights the high potential of lagoonal geoarchives for preserving deposits of extreme wave events, providing new insights into the frequency and diversity of tsunamigenic sources affecting the Laconian Gulf, refining our understanding of coastal hazards in tectonically active regions.

How to cite: Arianoutsou, A., Bellanova, P., Louis, K. J., Trotta, S., Papanikolaou, I., and Reicherter, K.: Late Holocene coastal landscape evolution and extreme wave event history of Vatika Bay, SE Peloponnese (Greece): A multi-proxy approach, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10228, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10228, 2026.

X3.97
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EGU26-8025
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ECS
Kim Josephine Louis, Piero Bellanova, Aliki Arianoutsou, Ioannis Papanikolaou, and Klaus Reicherter

Tsunamis are among the most significant cascading marine geohazards resulting from seismic, volcanic, and submarine slope-failure processes in the highly dynamic convergent margin system of the the Aegean Sea. Yet, the assessment of tsunami hazards at regional scales is frequently constrained by the fragmented and heterogeneous documentation of tsunami evidence. The present study presents a comprehensive review and compilation of published tsunami deposits in the Aegean region into a spatially explicit database designed to improve comparability of field proxy-based observations and chronological constraints, thus supporting local and regional hazard analyses.

In particular, the database compiles heterogeneous records of tsunami-related sediments and boulder deposits, with respect to geographic location, elevation, distance from the present-day coastline and depositional context. Each event entry attribution is linked to bibliographic reference and additional contextual descriptors, including type and confidence of tsunami evidence, deposit thickness, available chronological constraints (dating techniques and age ranges) and source interpretations. Historical reports are incorporated as explicitly classified metadata, ensuring transparent distinction from geological evidence. Finally, uncertainties are systematically flagged, improving interpretability and confidence in age control. By standardizing parameters and metadata, this approach enables the consistent comparison of run-up heights and inundation distances across sites and events.

The resulting database provides a region-wide overview of the Aegean tsunami deposits distribution, correlating individual sites reporting sedimentary or boulder deposits to specific events. The database facilitates the identification of spatial patterns, uncertainties and gaps in existing records, especially of minor, rarely noticed events. Thereby, we aim to provide a solid empirical foundation for the development of tsunami scenarios, the calibration and validation of models, and the undertaking of probabilistic hazard assessments. Beyond geoscientific applications, the database has been designed for transferability to risk communication and living-laboratory frameworks, thus supporting interdisciplinary research and stakeholder-oriented approaches to tsunami risk in the Aegean region through GIS-ready outputs and standardized data.

How to cite: Louis, K. J., Bellanova, P., Arianoutsou, A., Papanikolaou, I., and Reicherter, K.: From Deposits to Run-Up: A Spatial Database of Tsunami Evidence in the Aegean Region, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8025, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8025, 2026.

X3.98
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EGU26-8184
Piero Bellanova, Kim Josephine Louis, Sara Houbertz, Aliki Arianoutsou, Ioannis Papanikolaou, and Klaus Reicherter

Coastal boulder deposits along the southwestern coast of Crete (Greece) have been widely interpreted as evidence of past tsunami impact, based on their size, position and geomorphic setting. However, distinguishing tsunami-transported boulders from those emplaced by other high-energy coastal processes remains challenging, particularly where field documentation is limited. In this study, we present a reassessment of selected boulder sites in southwestern Crete previously described in the literature, with the aim of assessing the extent to which existing tsunami interpretations are supported by new high-resolution field observations. Our methodological approach integrates UAV-based surveys, mobile LiDAR scanning, detailed field mapping and targeted sampling to systematically document boulder dimensions, orientations, elevations, spatial distribution and local geomorphic and geological context. Our acquired datasets allow a more detailed evaluation of boulder emplacement than previously available. While several observations are consistent with high-energy marine inundation, detailed documentation of boulder positioning, imbrication patterns, elevation ranges and local topography reveals substantial variability in depositional settings than previously captured. At some locations, field observations indicate that the available evidence does not uniquely constrain a single emplacement mechanism. In addition to tsunami-related processes, other high-energy coastal dynamics, such as storm wave action, cliff-derived block falls or multi-phase transport, may have contributed to the observed boulder distributions. These observations complement earlier studies by broadening the empirical basis for evaluating coastal boulder deposits and by indicating where previous tsunami interpretations may benefit from additional consideration.

Our findings underline the value of site-specific, high-resolution field assessments aimed at systematically documenting as many boulders as possible at each site. We examined 15 sites regarding boulder deposits which results in several hundred individual LiDAR-Scans of coastal boulders. By expanding the available data archive, this approach supports more reliable, transparent and reproducible interpretations and helps clarifying remaining ambiguities that require additional constraints. The study contributes to an improved understanding of coastal boulder emplacement in the eastern Mediterranean and provides a refined empirical foundation for tsunami hazard reconstructions and the interpretation of extreme-wave proxies in tectonically active coastal regions.

How to cite: Bellanova, P., Louis, K. J., Houbertz, S., Arianoutsou, A., Papanikolaou, I., and Reicherter, K.: Reassessing Coastal Boulder Deposits in Southwestern Crete using UAV and LiDAR-Based Field Investigations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8184, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8184, 2026.

Societal integration and resilience
X3.99
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EGU26-5142
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ECS
Jan Oliver Eisermann, Felix Gross, Josephin Wolf, Alice Abbate, Andrey Babeyko, Christian Wagner-Ahlfs, Tom Kwasnitschka, Heidrun Kopp, and Sebastian Krastel

The MULTI-MAREX research mission, initiated by the German Marine Research Alliance (DAM), is establishing two living labs in Greece to study extreme marine geological events and related hazards. To address the challenges of communicating research outcomes and risk assessments, we have developed a workflow for creating virtual reconstructions of real study sites that transform complex geohazard scenarios into photorealistic immersive experiences. These virtual scenarios enhance situational awareness and facilitate meaningful and fact based engagement with experts, policymakers, and the public.

Using a game engine as a real-time 3D rendering platform enables the integration of physics-based numerical simulations with real-world spatial data thus providing an immersive frontend to classical numerical models. Our focus is on developing workflows that support a semi-automated, asset-enhanced, immersive visualisation of geospatial data within this framework. These virtual environments synthesise numerical physical models with remote sensing data, including terrestrial and marine digital outcrop models derived from drone and submersible imagery, as well as hydroacoustic bathymetry. Digitally placed assets, such as high-resolution synthetic textures, vegetation, cars, urban furniture and buildings, enhance the visual appearance and help to bridge the gap between different data resolutions. Physics-based simulations of fluids, objects, collisions, destruction, lighting and weather further transform real-world data into photorealistic, interactive environments.

By integrating numerical simulations via a custom data interface, we can visualise the effects of tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, extreme weather and wildfires with high fidelity. The framework used allows for a scalable approach across platforms, ranging from smartphones and desktop systems to head-mounted displays. These platforms ensure that visualisations and gameplay can be adapted to reach different stakeholders.

Stakeholders can experience scenarios from multiple perspectives, such as first-person or external observer view, and freely explore the open-world virtual environment. Interactive storylines support learning by guiding stakeholders through the environment and different scenarios. Additionally, stakeholders can engage with task-based, competitive elements of serious gaming, such as starting in an everyday situation before a realistic scenario is triggered, and then identifying the fastest route to safety. Decisions can have consequences and can be reviewed at the end of the experience to assess choices and learn from mistakes, with virtual objects providing guidance throughout.

Virtual environments are powerful tools for enhancing scientific analysis and stakeholder engagement, bridging the gap between complex geohazard science and effective stakeholder understanding. This supports informed decision-making and experience-based risk management.

How to cite: Eisermann, J. O., Gross, F., Wolf, J., Abbate, A., Babeyko, A., Wagner-Ahlfs, C., Kwasnitschka, T., Kopp, H., and Krastel, S.: Geohazards as serious gameplay: Immersive Virtual Environments from Real-World data Enable Story- and Game-Based Engagement with Modeled Marine Geohazard Scenarios., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5142, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5142, 2026.

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