Session BG8.1

BG8.1 | When Murphy’s Law Meets Climate Hazards – Cascading Risks and Unprepared Futures

When Murphy’s Law Meets Climate Hazards – Cascading Risks and Unprepared Futures

Co-organized by CL5/NH14/NP8

Convener: Elias Symeonakis | Co-conveners: Ana Bastos, Antonella Peresan

Programme

| Thu, 07 May, 08:30–10:15 (CEST)

Room N1

Europe is warming faster than any other continent, with climate-related hazards such as heatwaves, droughts, floods, and wildfires becoming more frequent and intense. These events not only pose direct threats to human systems but also trigger cascading effects across ecosystems, biodiversity, and biogeochemical cycles. This panel discussion explores the complex interplay between climate change and compounding natural hazards—such as wildfires, landslides, and extreme weather—and their cascading impacts on ecological systems, biogeochemical processes, and carbon dynamics. It will examine how these interactions affect ecosystem services, resilience and adaptation, drawing on insights from ecological modelling, Earth observation, and multi-risk analysis.

To effectively address these complex and cascading risks, the session also draws on expertise in governance and science-policy communication, recognising that scientific insights must be translated into actionable strategies, informed decision-making, and inclusive policies that enhance societal and ecological resilience.

This session brings together experts in ecological modelling, Earth Observation, multi-risk assessment, governance, and science-policy communication, including members of the EGU Climate Hazards Task Force. Panellists will respond to questions from the chairs and the audience, addressing how scientific research can better inform policy, what tools are needed to anticipate complex hazard-ecosystem interactions, and how to foster resilience in the face of uncertainty. The session aims to bridge disciplinary boundaries and spark dialogue between scientists, policymakers, and civil society, encouraging a shift from reactive to proactive risk and ecosystem management.

Programme: Thu, 7 May, 08:30–10:15 | Room N1

The oral presentations are given in a hybrid format supported by a Zoom meeting featuring on-site and virtual presentations. The button to access the Zoom meeting appears just before the time block starts.

Chairpersons: Elias Symeonakis, Antonella Peresan

08:30–08:40

10-minute convener Session and Panellist Introduction

08:40–09:00

Statements of Panelists

09:00–09:30

Chaired Discussion

09:30–10:05

Q&A

10:05–10:15

Wrap-up and Conclusions