EOS4.6 | Strengthening Policy Through Science: Insights from the interface
EDI
Strengthening Policy Through Science: Insights from the interface
Convener: David Gallego-Torres | Co-conveners: Marie G. P. Cavitte, Maria Vittoria GargiuloECSECS, Andrew Russell, Sebastian Wetterich
Orals
| Wed, 06 May, 10:45–12:30 (CEST)
 
Room 0.15
Posters on site
| Attendance Wed, 06 May, 14:00–15:45 (CEST) | Display Wed, 06 May, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X5
Orals |
Wed, 10:45
Wed, 14:00
Policy development and decision-making require robust science-based evidence to address societal challenges. Scientific data and analysis are also crucial for drafting or updating regulation to ensure the most relevant, and state-of-the-art methodologies are used to support effective laws and procedures. Although some mechanisms are being created to provide knowledge-based advice to policymakers, the pathways for scientists to engage and support the process of decision-making and regulation development are often unclear. Therefore, there is a need among the scientific community to share experiences and best practices to enrich decision-making at local, regional-national and European/international levels.
This session will demonstrate examples of successful, as well as lessons learnt from ineffective, engagement of geoscientists in policy design, regulation design, decision-makings and other actions in a political context, to deliver on societal benefits beyond academia. Challenges, main barriers encountered and strategies to overcome them will be examined.
The session will also showcase the role of stakeholders working with political institutions and how engagement with the scientific community can trigger fruitful deliberations between science, policy and society.
The session also aims at showcasing the outcome of evidence-based regulations addressing societal challenges, such as climate change effects or sustainable use of natural resources.
This session is aimed at researchers, policymakers and those working at the interface, from all career stages and disciplines. It will provide a space for questions and discussion, along with ample networking opportunities, including during the proposed associated Splinter Meeting during EGU 2026 week.

Orals: Wed, 6 May, 10:45–12:30 | Room 0.15

The oral presentations are given in a hybrid format supported by a Zoom meeting featuring on-site and virtual presentations. The button to access the Zoom meeting appears just before the time block starts.
Chairpersons: David Gallego-Torres, Marie G. P. Cavitte, Maria Vittoria Gargiulo
10:45–10:50
10:50–11:00
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EGU26-141
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ECS
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On-site presentation
Katherine Hart, Emily O'Donnell, Matthew Johnson, Stephen Dugdale, and Nathalie Cornee

Effective environmental governance depends on translating scientific knowledge into action, yet we know surprisingly little about how policy (and policy adjacent) actors consume and deploy scientific evidence. This study examines citation patterns in UK freshwater policy documents, with a particular focus on rivers, revealing systematic gaps between scientific knowledge production and policy uptake. 

Using Overton, the world’s largest database of policy documents, we trace the uptake (via citations within policy) of freshwater research across UK government agencies and international governmental organisations. Our analysis reveals several key patterns: publicly-funded research institutions are disproportionately influential relative to the wider evidence ecosystem; "methods" papers proposing frameworks and analytical tools dominate policy citations; and strong regional preferences exist, with organisations repeatedly citing familiar sources rather than accessing the broader evidence base. We observe reduced lag times between scholarly publication and policy citation following legislative changes, suggesting temporal and contextual relevance drives evidence uptake. However, citation practices show considerable stickiness, with organisations referring to "preferred" papers used repeatedly over time.

These findings challenge assumptions about evidence-based policymaking, revealing that relational familiarity and institutional proximity shape evidence consumption as much as scholarly quality or comprehensiveness. We discuss implications for understanding the science-policy interface, the role of publicly-funded research bodies as knowledge brokers, and strategies for improving evidence uptake in environmental (and in particular, freshwater) governance. These insights highlight current gaps and inform more realistic approaches to strengthening evidence uptake in freshwater and broader environmental governance.

How to cite: Hart, K., O'Donnell, E., Johnson, M., Dugdale, S., and Cornee, N.: Beyond Adaptive Capacity: How Institutional Routines Shape Evidence Use in UK Water Policy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-141, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-141, 2026.

11:00–11:10
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EGU26-11829
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
Luka Vucinic, Fiona Henderson, Karin Helwig, John Connolly, Bridget Bennett, Kaitlin Ramsay, Fatima Ajia, Emanuella Christensen, and Ole Pahl

Wastewater infrastructure is essential to environmental protection and public health, yet the regulatory frameworks that govern its design and operation were developed under assumptions of stable climatic and hydrological conditions. Climate change, including sea level rise, salt water intrusion, altered groundwater regimes, intense rainfall, more frequent flooding, prolonged droughts, and shifting soil and precipitation patterns, now challenges these assumptions. Although the vulnerability of large centralised wastewater systems is increasingly recognised, decentralised systems such as septic tanks and soil-based infiltration systems remain largely absent from climate focused regulatory and governance discussions.

This study examines how climate related risks are addressed in decentralised wastewater infrastructure regulation across coastal, suburban, rural and remote inland contexts, with particular attention to governance arrangements and policy design. The analysis shows that regulatory approaches for decentralised systems often rely on static technical criteria that do not reflect dynamic climate driven changes in groundwater levels, soil moisture, flooding patterns, drought severity, or salinity. As a result, regulatory compliance may no longer ensure long term system performance or adequate protection of environmental and public health.

The paper identifies governance factors that limit the translation of scientific understanding into regulatory requirements, including limited forward planning, fragmented institutional responsibilities, limited monitoring of decentralised systems, limited consideration of the receiving environment,  the tendency to treat these systems as private household assets rather than components of critical public infrastructure, and limited support for the communities and householders who own these assets. The analysis highlights the implications of these gaps for climate adaptation and argues for more adaptive and evidence informed regulatory frameworks and surrounding policies to strengthen resilience, environmental protection, and public health.

How to cite: Vucinic, L., Henderson, F., Helwig, K., Connolly, J., Bennett, B., Ramsay, K., Ajia, F., Christensen, E., and Pahl, O.: Science-Policy Blind Spots and Challenges in Wastewater Infrastructure Regulation under Climate Change, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11829, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11829, 2026.

11:10–11:20
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EGU26-14451
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Virtual presentation
Brice Van Liefferinge, Mirjam Van Belle, and Léo Gehin

The Brussels conurbation lies at the heart of Europe, hosting not only the European institutions and NATO headquarters but also functioning as a major communication hub and a typical urban environment with all its inherent challenges. Furthermore, Brussels is not immune to climate-related hazards, particularly flooding, droughts, and heatwaves.


Safe.brussels is the public agency of the Brussels-Capital Region responsible for coordinating policies in safety, security, and crisis management, acting as the lead authority for emergency planning and crisis response. Our work follows what we call the risk cycle, which begins with risk identification, prevention and preparedness, continues through crisis management when an event occurs, and concludes with recovery and lessons learned. Recent events, such as the floods in Valencia (Spain), have highlighted the critical importance of risk identification and emergency preparedness.
In the Brussels regional risk analysis, one of the four major categories concerns natural hazards and extreme weather conditions. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks significantly.

As an organization directly engaged in the development and implementation of safety and crisis management plans, we recognize the strategic importance of scientific knowledge in strengthening operational readiness and response capabilities.


Building resilience requires mutual understanding between scientists, policymakers, and practitioners like us, who operate at the interface of these two worlds. In this presentation, we will share our crisis preparedness methodology, key challenges, and needs to make the Brussels-Capital Region more resilient to climate risks, using flood risk as the primary lens for discussion. We will use this opportunity to share how we interact with data providers, policy makers and our vision to have a more efficient knowledge exchange in times of crisis !

How to cite: Van Liefferinge, B., Van Belle, M., and Gehin, L.: Bridging Science and Crisis Management: the use case of Brussels conurbation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14451, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14451, 2026.

11:20–11:30
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EGU26-3411
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On-site presentation
Kate Donovan, Ashrika Sharma, Vineeta Thapa, and Anne-Marte Bergseng

Evidence-based disaster and climate change policymaking is critical for accountability and public trust before, during and after a crisis. Drawing on lessons from two contrasting but complementary initiatives, we will discuss how science brokerage can strengthen accountable and effective policy. This presentation highlights how demand for evidence, its translation, and its use shape governance outcomes across different policy contexts.

The first case is Bato, a 12-month British Academy funded research project that examined mechanisms, processes, and institutional factors shaping the uptake of evidence in Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) policymaking in Nepal. The second is ClimateXChange (CXC), a 15-year national knowledge brokerage programme delivering research-based evidence to the Scottish Government. Despite differences in scale, duration, and governance context, both cases underscore the critical role of science brokerage in aligning research supply with policy demand. Findings from Bato reveal persistent structural and institutional barriers to evidence uptake in DRR policymaking. While the project aimed to identify a roadmap for science uptake, it instead exposed fundamental knowledge gaps specific to hazard management and response, including fragmented evidence flows, limited demand articulation, and weak institutional incentives for evidence use. These findings point to the need for brokerage approaches that go beyond dissemination, towards strengthening demand-side capacity and clarifying the role of evidence in governance.

ClimateXChange demonstrates how sustained investment in science brokerage can systematically address government knowledge needs. A recent review of CXC research outputs since 2011 shows that evidence demand has been dominated by climate mitigation, particularly in the sectors of energy, land use, and built infrastructure. While mitigation research often integrates multiple sectors, climate impacts and adaptation research has been more fragmented, frequently focusing on single hazards or sectors. The review also identifies a mix of instrumental evidence (directly informing policy decisions) and conceptual evidence (supporting understanding of complex or emerging issues) demand from government. With a recent shift towards anticipatory evidence needs, including understanding policy impacts, behavioural responses, and public scrutiny.

Together, these cases offer key lessons for strengthening policy through science brokerage. First, effective brokerage requires explicit attention to evidence demand, not just supply. Second, long-term, trusted brokerage arrangements enable policy-relevant learning over time, particularly as governments shift towards anticipatory and transition-focused policymaking. Finally, science brokerage plays a crucial role in supporting good governance by connecting evidence use to accountability, transparency, and public trust. The presentation concludes by reflecting on how policymakers can use these insights to critically assess not only how research is used, but what types of evidence are commissioned to support disaster and climate policy in increasingly complex and uncertain contexts.

How to cite: Donovan, K., Sharma, A., Thapa, V., and Bergseng, A.-M.: Beyond Evidence Supply: Lessons from Science Brokerage in Climate and Disaster Policymaking in Nepal and Scotland., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3411, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3411, 2026.

11:30–11:40
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EGU26-5130
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On-site presentation
Margarita Ruiz-Ramos, Philippe Tulkens, Katarzyna Drabicka, Mathilde Mousson, and Diana López-García

As part of its ethical, cultural, and societal values, the European Union has, for decades, embraced the aspiration to base political decisions on scientific evidence1. Prime examples include the European Green Deal, and the climate and biodiversity targets underpinned by science broadly, and specifically by the IPCC and IPBES, along with numerous processes for open consultation and evidence gathering. Also, an internal mechanism called “Feedback to Policy” exists, designed to “bridge policy work and research stemming from Horizon Europe via collaborative channels and work between policy DGs and executive agencies” (EC, 2025). This encompasses diverse dissemination activities whose success or failure driving factors are shared with other process of this nature.

Various mechanisms have been evaluated to enhance the knowledge transfer from science to policymaking, revealing factors contributing to both success and failure. In both national and EU contexts, knowledge brokers have emerged as pivotal figures in bridging the science-to-policy gap. Additionally, high level of co-creation is considered a success factor (Sienkiewicz and Mair, 2020), while sector-specific independent advisory boards and working groups with consolidated participation from both policymakers and researchers can achieve considerable influence. Also, the inclusion of Social Sciences and Humanities (SSH) experts within research teams, alongside basic scientific competencies from policymakers, serves as a crucial enabler. For that reason, many of the recommended practices include actions to improve capacity in both the policy and research institutions (Topp et al., 2018).

Evidence has also highlighted factors that facilitate the failure of science-to-policy transfer, such as gaps between researchers and policymakers across various levels, together with institutional, normative, and operational aspects, and those related to co-creation and evaluation and learning processes (EC-JRC, 2024). Regarding the first aspect, the mismatch between what science can deliver and policymaker expectations can be significant due to differing timelines, miscommunication, and uncertainty mismanagement, among other aspects. Human factors play a critical role here in establishing genuine relationships that allows effective message orientation and trust-building. On a more operational level, an inadequate design of knowledge transfer and communication actions can pave the way for failure. Finally, concerning evaluation and learning, there is a prevalent absence of post-assessment and failure attribution mechanisms necessary to understand why and where within the decision chain policy diverges from scientific evidence. In domains like climate and biodiversity, decisions and legislation undergo intense political negotiation, where diverse layers of information and powerful non-scientific factors may divert political decision-making from the purely technical or scientific optimum. Establishing transparent evaluation mechanisms to assess how knowledge is adopted in policymaking would be a crucial step to optimise the transfer we aspire to achieve.

1https://commission.europa.eu/law/law-making-process/better-regulation_en#:~:text=In%20this%20context%2C%20the%20better,managing%20and%20evaluating%20existing%20legislation.

References

EC, 2025.  Interim Evaluation of the Horizon Europe Framework Programme for Research and Innovation (2021 - 2024). SWD (2025) 110 final.

EC- JRC, 2024. Science-for-policy ecosystems through the eyes of professionals, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 2024, JRC139213.

Sienkiewicz, M,  Mair, D, .2020. Against the Science–Policy Binary Separation: Science for Policy 1.0. 10.1016/b978-0-12-822596-7.00001-2.

Topp, L., Mair, D., Smillie, L. et al. Knowledge management for policy impact: the case of the EC’s JRCe. Palgrave Commun4, 87 (2018).  

How to cite: Ruiz-Ramos, M., Tulkens, P., Drabicka, K., Mousson, M., and López-García, D.:  Lost in translation: Bridging science and EU policy  , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5130, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5130, 2026.

11:40–11:50
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EGU26-19924
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ECS
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Virtual presentation
Prajal Pradhan and Anne Warchold

Countries are not on track to achieve the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, calling into question the transformative capacity of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as currently implemented. The 17 SDGs and 169 targets were designed as an integrated framework balancing social, economic, and environmental dimensions, yet policy action continues to be dominated by selective, goal-by-goal approaches. Increasing evidence shows that SDGs interact through complex synergies and trade-offs that are highly context- and scale-dependent. Ignoring these interactions not only limits overall progress but risks reinforcing existing socioeconomic inequalities and environmental pressures, with direct implications for policy coherence and effectiveness.

Building on results from the ERC Starting Grant project BeyondSDG (‘Transformation towards long-term sustainability beyond Sustainable Development Goals’), this contribution focuses on understanding SDG interactions and their implications for long-term sustainability at the science-policy interface. The project applies a threefold scientific approach that combines quantitative analysis, qualitative evidence synthesis, and knowledge co-creation to support evidence-informed decision-making. First, we conduct large-scale quantitative analyses using a unified SDG database that ensures spatio-temporal consistency and cross-comparability of indicators across countries and over time. This database provides a robust empirical basis for identifying patterns of synergies and trade-offs among SDGs and for moving beyond correlation-based assessments towards the exploration of directional and causal linkages within the SDG system. Second, we apply systematic literature reviews, machine-learning-assisted screening, and qualitative text mining to identify the mechanisms underlying SDG interactions. This approach synthesizes scientific and policy evidence across areas such as bioeconomy transitions, food systems, urban agriculture, and climate change mitigation. The results highlight recurring gaps between policy ambitions and operational implementation, showing that SDG interactions are frequently acknowledged rhetorically but rarely translated into measurable and integrated policy actions. Third, the project integrates social foundations and planetary boundaries into SDG research to assess whether observed SDG progress aligns with the conditions required for long-term sustainability. This integration supports the identification of policy-relevant interactions and priorities that are not captured by SDG indicators alone, thereby informing more coherent and forward-looking regulatory and governance frameworks. Lastly, knowledge co-creation processes, including workshops and thematic dialogues at the science-policy interface, are used to translate analytical insights into shared problem framings across stakeholders and to identify priorities for accelerating SDG implementation until 2030 and beyond.

Overall, the findings show that although certain policy pathways generate short-term SDG synergies, they frequently fall short of addressing persistent trade-offs related to consumption patterns, resource competition, and social dimensions of sustainability. We argue that strengthening policy through science requires systematic prioritization of SDGs, improved understanding of interaction mechanisms, and closer alignment between SDG implementation, long-term sustainability objectives, and science–policy engagement processes.

How to cite: Pradhan, P. and Warchold, A.: Understanding Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) interactions for policycoherence and long-term sustainability, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19924, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19924, 2026.

11:50–12:00
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EGU26-7836
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On-site presentation
Philippe Tulkens, Prisca Haemers, and Margarita Ruiz-Ramos

Several policy initiatives by the European Commission, such as the European Water Resilience Strategy (EC, 2025a), recognize the urgent need to dramatically scale up investments and the deployment of natural sponges and other nature-based solutions to restore the natural functions of landscapes, replenish groundwater reserves, and protect biodiversity. Although there are increasing numbers of natural sponge pilot projects throughout Europe, the lack of sufficient technical assistance, tools, incentives, and financing has hindered scaling up to larger landscapes. More "sponge champions" are needed, including government authorities, private landowners in the agricultural sector, private businesses, and financial institutions. To better coordinate, expand, and provide a coherent framework for new and existing initiatives to enhance land water retention, the EC will develop a "Sponge Facility," which is retrieving strong support from civil society and NGOs (Living Rivers Europe, 2023). In addition, the Vision for Agriculture and Food (EC, 2025ba) intends to incentivize and support farming practices that recover, maintain, or improve soil health and retain water in soil. All these initiatives must be informed by scientific knowledge and empirical evidence, and the projects funded by the EU's Mission for Adaptation to Climate Change are addressing this need. Mission projects conduct and apply research to aid European regions and communities in better understanding, preparing for, and managing climate risks and opportunities. Some of the previous Mission calls[1] focused on collecting and generating knowledge and demonstrating solutions to effectively enhance the natural water retention functions of landscapes as a crucial element of water management.

Consequently, the family of Sponge projects funded by Mission Adaptation exemplifies sustained collaborative efforts to research, test, and demonstrate solutions across regions and communities through case studies, with a particular emphasis on nature-based solutions. As Mission projects, they aim to accelerate understanding of success factors involved in the adoption of these solutions by all stakeholders as part of systemic transformations toward climate resilience. Specifically, the Spongescapes[2] project aims to expand scientific knowledge to improve the sponge function of soil, groundwater, and surface water systems. The Spongeboost[3] project combines best practices with innovative approaches, testing them in various regions to incorporate them into a roadmap for implementing transformative measures to enhance resilience to extreme events. Finally, the SpongeWorks[4] project evaluates the effectiveness of large-scale implementation to co-create long-term sponge strategies, action plans, and roadmaps at the landscape scale. The progress and challenges faced by the Sponge project family and their contribution to regional water and climate resilience will be highlighted.

[1] https://ec.europa.eu/info/funding-tenders/opportunities/portal/screen/opportunities/topic-details/HORIZON-MISS-2022-CLIMA-01-05; https://ec.europa.eu/info/funding-tenders/opportunities/portal/screen/opportunities/topic-details/HORIZON-MISS-2023-CLIMA-OCEAN-SOIL-01-01

[2] https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101112738

[3] https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101112906

[4] https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101156116

References

European Commission, 2025a. European Water Resilience Strategy. COM(2025) 280 final

European Commission, 2025b. A Vision for Agriculture and Food. COM(2025) 75 final

Living Rivers Europe, 2023. Adapting to the climate and water crises. Joint position paper for a water resilient Europe. https://europe.wetlands.org/freshwater-crisis-ngo-coalition-calls-for-new-eu-climate-and-water-resilience-law/

How to cite: Tulkens, P., Haemers, P., and Ruiz-Ramos, M.: “Sponging” Europe through EU Mission Adaptation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7836, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7836, 2026.

12:00–12:10
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EGU26-14833
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Highlight
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On-site presentation
Juliet Biggs, Elias Lewi, Tim Wright, Lin Way, Ben Ireland, Fabien Albino, Edna Dualeh, Susan Loughlin, Julia Crummy, Raphael Grandin, Weiyu Zheng, and Milan Lazecky

Globally, over 800 million people live within 100 km of a volcano.  The contrast between geological and human timescales makes it notoriously difficult to predict when and where the next eruption will occur. However, the timescales of magma ascent mean that monitoring systems can detect changes, allowing scientists to judge changing likelihoods of hazardous events, to raise (and lower) volcanic alert levels if they are in place, and advise authorities, who may in turn decide to call evacuations. Thus volcano monitoring and advice saves lives and supports economic development. Despite this, many volcanoes near large population centres have little or no ground-based monitoring meaning most alerts do not accurate reflect hazard levels. Recent developments in satellite technology and machine learning are transforming the way we study our planet, changing our perception of volcanic activity and revolutionising the ways in which volcanoes are monitored. Here, we focus on the East African Rift system, where exposure is high and ground-based monitoring is scarce.

First, we showcase how satellite data has enabled the systematic identification and characterisation of deformation at 16 otherwise unmonitored volcanoes, demonstrating a previously unrecognised, but extensive hazard. Then we discuss the scientific response to the 2024-2025 seismic crisis in the Fentale-Dofen Region, Ethiopia, which was caused by a sequence of magmatic intrusions over 6 months. UNOCHA report that 75,000 people were evacuated. The largest intrusion was ~ 50 km in length causing ~ 3 m of surface displacement and extensive surface fracturing. Satellite data and analysis provided by international organisations including the UK Centre for the Observation and Modelling of Earthquakes, Volcanoes and Tectonics (COMET), the ERC Grant MAST (PI Biggs) and the GVEWERS programme of the CEOS Working Group on Disasters played a critical role in informing and supporting crisis response efforts. Real-time analysis was discussed with partners at Addis Ababa University and used by the Ethiopian Scientific Advisory Committee comprising scientists from Addis Ababa University, the Geological Institute of Ethiopia and other relevant institutions to monitor the events and keep the Ethiopian Disaster Risk Management Commission (EDRMC) and the public continuously informed. The advisory committee provided a highly simplified zoned map summarising the most likely scenarios and zones of hazard. Alongside this, a series of open-access Event Response Reports was published on the COMET website to support situational awareness and decision making by international stakeholders. For example, these reports supported the British Geological Survey (BGS) International Natural Hazards Forward Look (INHFL) reports and volcano advisory assessments for the UK’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO).

This event highlights two pathways for scientists to address societal challenges, by engaging and supporting the process of decision-making. Firstly, that there is an urgent need for enhanced scientific monitoring, scientific expertise and preparedness in the East African Rift, particularly the infrastructural, and institutional capacities to support these efforts. Secondly satellite technology now provides monitoring data at sufficient spatial and temporal resolution to be used during crises, and if properly supported, could provide the foundation for global volcano monitoring systems.

How to cite: Biggs, J., Lewi, E., Wright, T., Way, L., Ireland, B., Albino, F., Dualeh, E., Loughlin, S., Crummy, J., Grandin, R., Zheng, W., and Lazecky, M.: Science into Policy: how satellite data can support decision-making during volcanic crises around the world - a recent example from East Africa. , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14833, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14833, 2026.

12:10–12:20
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EGU26-8979
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On-site presentation
Theresia Bilola, Rosa Rantanen, and Omobola Eko

Science–policy communication in geosciences is not only technical but deeply shaped by language and emotion. Research on bilingual cognition shows that using a second language (L2) can reduce emotional resonance and shift moral reasoning toward utilitarian frames, while first-language (L1) communication evokes stronger emotional and deontological responses. These dynamics matter for geoscience advice, which often crosses linguistic and cultural boundaries, especially in climate services and disaster-risk reduction.

This conceptual discussion integrates two perspectives: (1) the SANER Compass (INGSA), a reflective framework for navigating values and roles at the science–policy interface; and (2) language–emotion–ethics research, which highlights how linguistic context influences risk perception, urgency framing, and ethical trade-offs. We argue that multilingual communication is not a neutral conduit but an active variable shaping policy uptake and legitimacy. We propose a conceptual protocol for geoscience communication:

  • Language-aware framing to anticipate moral–emotional shifts across L1/L2;
  • Dual-register messaging combining emotionally legible narratives with utilitarian summaries;
  • Governance of translation and interpretation using Compass prompts to align values and responsibilities;
  • Evaluation metrics for trust, clarity, and ethical coherence.

By foregrounding language and emotion as conceptual dimensions, this discussion invites geoscientists to rethink communication strategies beyond technical accuracy toward approaches that are culturally sensitive, ethically transparent, and resilient in multilingual policy arenas. This lens is particularly relevant for climate adaptation and early-warning systems in transnational contexts, where decisions hinge on both evidence and the moral frames through which it is conveyed.

How to cite: Bilola, T., Rantanen, R., and Eko, O.: Language, Emotion, and Ethical Frames in Science-Policy Communication, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8979, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8979, 2026.

12:20–12:30
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EGU26-7607
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On-site presentation
Mustafa Yücel, Kremena Stefanova, Hasan Örek, Betül Bitir Soylu, Maria Perez, Georgia Chantzi, Patrizio Mariani, Matteo Bocci, Frederick Herpers, Pınar Uygurer, Özgün Evrim Sayılkan, and Barış Salihoğlu and the BRIDGE-BS WP5 Contributors

The Black Sea is one of Europe’s major sea basins, providing important opportunities for blue economy development while simultaneously experiencing multiple stressors, including warming, deoxygenation, and overfishing. Addressing these challenges requires sustained interaction between science, policy, and technology development. In 2019, following an intensive co-design process involving scientists, policymakers, funding agencies from Black Sea countries, and the European Commission, the Black Sea Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda (SRIA) was launched. As a concrete product of the science–policy interface, the SRIA established a forward-looking framework to steer research priorities, innovation pathways, and implementation-oriented projects in the region.

One of the largest initiatives implementing the SRIA was the BRIDGE-Black Sea project, launched in 2021 and concluded in late 2025. Here, we present results from a major policy-driven work package of this project, focusing on how SRIA priorities translated into advances in marine in situ observation technologies. We developed an integrated suite of smart monitoring systems and sensing platforms explicitly aligned with SRIA objectives and regional policy needs. These systems include eDNA metabarcoding for biodiversity assessment, metagenomic approaches for marine enzyme exploration, mobile observing platforms such as ScanFish and gliders for high-resolution water-column profiling, and advanced benthic observatories integrating imaging with environmental measurements. In addition, we implemented a set of early-warning demonstrators targeting key Black Sea stressors, including rise of the deep sulfidic zone, jellyfish blooms, ocean acidification, and underwater noise. These demonstrators showcase novel applications of UAVs and underwater drones, autonomous pH and pCO₂ sensors, and combined acoustic, optical, and electrochemical detection tools.

Together, these complementary technologies form a coherent toolbox for smart, operational marine monitoring that supports adaptive management and enhanced forecasting capabilities for Black Sea services. We present a technology readiness level (TRL) analysis of these solutions and map their outputs to emerging European marine policy frameworks, including the Ocean Pact, the Marine Strategy Framework Directive, and the European Digital Twin of the Ocean. Finally, we assess the transferability and replicability of these policy-driven technological solutions to other European sea basins and coastal systems, highlighting lessons learned for future science–policy–technology co-design processes.

How to cite: Yücel, M., Stefanova, K., Örek, H., Bitir Soylu, B., Perez, M., Chantzi, G., Mariani, P., Bocci, M., Herpers, F., Uygurer, P., Sayılkan, Ö. E., and Salihoğlu, B. and the BRIDGE-BS WP5 Contributors: From Policy to Practice: Advancing Marine In Situ Observations through the Black Sea Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7607, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7607, 2026.

Posters on site: Wed, 6 May, 14:00–15:45 | Hall X5

The posters scheduled for on-site presentation are only visible in the poster hall in Vienna. If authors uploaded their presentation files, these files are linked from the abstracts below.
Display time: Wed, 6 May, 14:00–18:00
Chairpersons: Andrew Russell, Sebastian Wetterich, Marie G. P. Cavitte
X5.227
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EGU26-1752
Andrew Russell, Isabel Cotton, Megan Clinch, and James Porter

Many environmental issues can be described as “wicked problems” because, in particular, they often have no “ideal” solution that is acceptable to all or most stakeholders. To expand on this, there can be many actions that could be taken to respond to a specific environmental hazard, but some of those responses might be inadequate in managing the scale of the risk and others may be too expensive to implement when compared to the assets that they would protect or damage they would prevent. In such situations, how can we find out what policy professionals think would be the best response and what influences their thinking?

Q-sort is a research method that can help answer this question. It is used to systematically capture and compare participant’s subjective viewpoints by getting them to order and rank statements in relation to one another.

Here, we present a case study of using q-sort in the context of the management of coastal legacy landfill sites where increasing flood and coastal erosion risks are anticipated. In this case, we used the method to get policy professionals to rank possible responses that could manage the risk of potentially harmful waste being released onto beaches and/or into the sea.

In summer 2025, a major research project in the UK – the Resilience of Anthropocene Coasts and Communities (RACC) project – convened two stakeholder workshops to compile and assess what policy options that could manage legacy landfill sires are preferred. Held in London (July) and Glasgow (September), the two half-day workshops explored how the problem is currently understood and to identify key barriers to management actions. Participants then considered the potential responses and ranked those responses in a q-sort exercise. The participants positioned 28 policy options on a q-sort matrix by deciding what their least- and most-preferred options were in relation to the other options. They also completed a questionnaire to capture the thought processes behind their rankings.

Combining the results from all the participants (n=22), we were able to determine that the most preferred policy options were:

  • Vulnerability assessment for who and what is at risk from coastal change and legacy waste
  • Treat the whole of the site to remove harmful contaminants
  • Emergency preparedness and response planning (of potential legacy waste exposure during storm or flood events)

Conversely, the least preferred policy options were:

  • Reopen the landfill
  • Do nothing
  • Relocate people, assets, or infrastructure away from legacy waste site

The results of this process has given us a starting point for our next steps in engaging even more policy professionals and working with communities with an ultimate aim of building the resilience of those communities.

How to cite: Russell, A., Cotton, I., Clinch, M., and Porter, J.: How do we find out what policy professionals want to do in response to complex environmental hazards? A case study using q-sort to unravel policy professionals’ preferences and thought processes., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1752, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1752, 2026.

X5.228
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EGU26-1711
Francesco Avanzi, Renata Pelosini, Alberto Tasso, Silvio Gualdi, and Gerardo Sansone and the IT-WATER team

Droughts are intensifying due to climate change, yet hydrological scenarios to anticipate future water availability remain far less common than climate projections, making it difficult to translate scientific results into information that is both interpretable and operationally useful. The IT-WATER project addresses this gap by developing the first national-scale water-resource scenarios for Italy through a co-creation process that places stakeholders and their needs at the core of its methodology. Beginning with webinar and survey in early 2025 and culminating in an in-person workshop in Bologna with representatives of water authorities, research institutions, and public and private operators, the engagement process gathered practical insights and critically reviewed proposed indices for representing hydro-climatic futures. Furthermore, efforts were focused on developing advanced visualization methods for the indicators to ensure their seamless integration into decision-making workflows and to enhance their effectiveness in supporting planning activities. The resulting shared portfolio of indices constitutes a co-designed, practice-oriented reference framework that supports the communication of climate-change impacts on water resources and informs future planning and adaptation strategies.  

How to cite: Avanzi, F., Pelosini, R., Tasso, A., Gualdi, S., and Sansone, G. and the IT-WATER team: Decision-relevant rendering of water- supply climate-change scenarios: a co-produced portfolio, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1711, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1711, 2026.

X5.229
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EGU26-3330
Isabel Gomes, Margherita Andreaggi, and Enrico Ponte

Understanding how scientific knowledge informs climate change adaptation (CCA) and disaster risk reduction (DRR) policy remains a critical challenge across African governance systems. Science-Policy Interfaces (SPIs) are widely promoted to strengthen evidence-informed decision-making, yet systematic and comparative assessments of how they function in practice remain limited. This study develops and applies an indicator-based framework to assess SPI performance, empirically tested through 20 CCA and DRR initiatives implemented in Africa between 2008 and 2021.

Drawing on global literature on science - policy engagement, co-production, institutional governance, and knowledge systems, we developed a general analytical framework comprising 22 indicators organised across six domains, designed to capture core conditions underpinning effective SPIs across policy fields. The framework was applied to the CCA/DRR cases through standardised scoring of project documentation, complemented by exploratory Spearman’s rank correlation analysis and Principal Component Analysis (PCA), with cluster stability validated through bootstrap resampling. This mixed-method approach enabled examination of how SPI conditions in the selected case studies co-occur, interact, and form performance patterns.

Results show consistently strong performance in scientific contextual relevance, stakeholder engagement, international alignment, and capacity strengthening, indicating that participatory and context-sensitive practices were widely embedded across the initiatives. However, weaknesses were identified in sustainability-related dimensions, particularly exit strategies, monitoring and feedback mechanisms, long-term resourcing, equity (notably gender representation), and digital infrastructures.

Both correlation analysis and PCA reveal that SPI indicators cluster around three interdependent dimensions rather than linear pathways. A first, socially grounded dimension centres on intermediary capacity, highlighting the role of boundary actors in knowledge sharing and retention, with reflexive practices functioning as a two-way interface that builds understanding, supports uptake, and informs where further scientific input is needed. A second, institutional dimension brings together alignment with institutional policy frameworks and continuity-oriented mechanisms - including institutional capacity strengthening, monitoring arrangements, and exit strategies - emphasising the importance of institutional anchoring and planned continuity for SPI durability. A third, technical - operational dimension links the usability of outputs - timeliness, accessibility, and practical relevance - with policy uptake, showing that practical and accessible outputs are closely associated with policy influence.

Overall, the findings demonstrate that SPIs operate as integrated systems in which social capacities, institutional anchoring, and technical - operational conditions reinforce one another. Beyond DRR and CCA, the framework offers a transferable evaluation tool to support comparative learning and the identification of effective SPI practices across broader green transition initiatives.

Acknowledgements: This study was conducted within the framework of the Africa Regional Centres of Excellence (ArcX) Programme, an initiative of the EU-Africa Science, Technology and Innovation Partnership. The authors acknowledge the support of the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre (JRC) and the Directorate-General for International Partnerships (DG INTPA) for funding and institutional guidance provided through the ArcX Knowledge Management Mechanism. The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official position of the European Commission.

How to cite: Gomes, I., Andreaggi, M., and Ponte, E.: Assessing Science - Policy Interfaces for Climate Adaptation and Disaster Risk Reduction in Africa: a comparative indicator-based analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3330, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3330, 2026.

X5.230
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EGU26-5735
Renata Barros, Julie Hollis, Tracey Dancy, Gabriele Leoni, Luca Guerrieri, Claudia Delfini, Marzia Rizzo, Santiago Martín Alfageme, Evelyng Peña Chávez, and Urška Šolc

Scientific projects and initiatives are typically designed around scientific excellence and technical capability, treating policy relevance as a secondary consideration rather than a design driver. This places primary emphasis on outputs, assuming that scientific robustness alone is sufficient to ensure their uptake in policy processes. In practice, decision-makers are a diverse set of actors operating under different mandates, timeframes, legal responsibilities, and risk considerations, all of which condition whether and how scientific knowledge can be used to inform their decisions. Drawing on experience from the EU-funded Geological Service for Europe (GSEU) project, we argue that effective geoscience-policy engagement starts with clearly identifying who the outputs are for and how these actors define usable knowledge.

GSEU brings together European Geological Survey Organisations to provide harmonised subsurface data, information, tools, and knowledge at continental scale. In doing so, it offers an opportunity to explore the challenges and opportunities of engaging with EU institutions, which constitute the project’s main target audience. We reflect on lessons learned from attempting to align scientific outputs with specific decision contexts, including those related to critical raw materials and CO2 storage.

We highlight the importance of early identification of key actors, mapping their needs and expectations, continuous dialogue with stakeholders working at the science-policy interface, and iterative adaptation of scientific outputs to decision-makers’ needs. We also discuss some of the challenges, such as communicating uncertainty and navigating the mismatch between scientific and policy timelines.

By arguing for a focus on the “who” before the “what,” we aim to provide transferable insights for geoscientists seeking to engage more effectively in policy design.

How to cite: Barros, R., Hollis, J., Dancy, T., Leoni, G., Guerrieri, L., Delfini, C., Rizzo, M., Martín Alfageme, S., Peña Chávez, E., and Šolc, U.: Who needs our data? Lessons from an audience-centred approach in the Geological Service for Europe project, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5735, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5735, 2026.

X5.231
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EGU26-6962
|
ECS
Matteo Sema, Lucia Calderón-Pacheco, Salvatore Monaco, and Antonella Peresan

This study presents the results of a qualitative research based on forty interviews conducted in two municipalities of the Friuli Venezia Giulia Region (Italy), namely the cities of Lignano Sabbiadoro and Trieste, between October 2024 and November 2025. The research, developed within the framework of the RETURN Project (Multi-Risk Science for Resilient Communities under a Changing Climate) (https://www.fondazionereturn.it/), aims to explore, systematize and critically analyze the multiple perspectives on Disaster Risk Management (DRM) and Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) of local stakeholders operating within the analysed context. Consistently with established theoretical approaches that conceptualize disaster risk as a socially constructed and governance-dependent process (Blaikie, Cannon, Davis and Wisner, 2004, https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203714775), the study focuses on how risk knowledge, responsibilities, and practices are articulated across institutional and societal domains.

The stakeholders involved are categorised into different societal categories defined as the Knowledge Production domain (public and private actors with demonstrated scientific expertise), the Knowledge-Based Decision-Making domain (public and private actors vested with formal responsibilities and decision-making authority), and the Knowledge Transfer and Learning domain (actors engaged in communication activities and in the dissemination of risk culture). The identification and selection of interviewees followed an integrated approach combining competence-based, positional, and reputational criteria. Specifically, the selection was based on the analysis of existing databases (e.g. research databases as IRIS or Scopus for the identification of scientific actors), the examination of institutional organizational charts (aimed at selecting actors with relevant technical and decision-making competencies), and a snowball sampling mechanisms (peer recognition and informal referral dynamics within and across the considered categories).

To ensure both comparability and sensitivity to the specificities of each group of actors, semi-structured interview schemes were developed, differentiated according to the typology of actors. The final sample included decision-makers (n.6), university professors and senior researchers affiliated with research institutions (n.12), media professionals (n.6), associations and third-sector organizations (n.5), tourism sector experts (n.6), and technical-operational experts in the management of risks related with natural hazards (n.5).

The interviews were analysed following a thematic qualitative approach, which allowed for the identification of recurrent patterns, convergences, and divergences in stakeholders’ perspectives of DRM and DRR. The analysis highlighted several key dimensions, such as the level of widespread public awareness regarding natural hazards, their possible impacts, and the appropriate response behaviours.

Overall, the adopted approach allowed for the emergence of latent organizational, cognitive, and relational dynamics at local level. While the findings are not  generalizable, they provide analytically rich insights into the ways in which different actors frame risk, negotiate responsibilities, and interact across institutional and sectoral boundaries.
Future research may expand the empirical base through additional interviews and comparative analyses, in order to deepen and consolidate these findings.

How to cite: Sema, M., Calderón-Pacheco, L., Monaco, S., and Peresan, A.: Multi-Stakeholder Engagement: A case study in Friuli Venezia Giulia region (Italy), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6962, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6962, 2026.

X5.232
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EGU26-9689
Roberto Sarro, Enrique Castellanos, Alejandro Celli, Mónica Marín David, Yusnier Verdecia, Mónica Arcila, Guisela Choquenaira, Josiela Sánchez, Lisa Ahlers, Isabel Pino, Mónica Martínez-Corbella, Pablo Miranda, Franco Vera, Juan López-Vinielles, João Carvalho, Roxanna Chávez, Juan Reina, Sara Figueras, Pere Buxó, and Thiago Antonelli and the rest of Geohazard Expert Group (GEAG) from ASGMI

Ibero-America ranks among the world’s most vulnerable regions to geohazards, where landslides, rockfalls, debris flows, earthquakes, and volcanic eruptions have caused not only severe economic losses, but also thousands of fatalities. In this context, the members of the Association of Ibero-America’s Geological and Mining Surveys (ASGMI) play a key role in bridging science and policy to address these challenges. ASGMI’s Expert Group on Geohazards (GEAG) collaborates in the E4PIGEO project, an initiative designed to strengthen cooperation among Geological and Mining Surveys (SGMI), researchers, and institutions to transfer expert knowledge to decision-makers and improve risk management strategies.

To achieve this objective, four strategic actions have been proposed: (A1) Connect and strengthen collaborations with Ibero-American scientific institutions to promote a culture based on Evidence for Policy (E4P) activities. (A2) Develop an observational study of geohazards in Ibero-America to contextualize the problem and analyze current public policies aimed at mitigating their effects. (A3) Analyze internal science-policy connection mechanisms within SGMI as multidisciplinary scientific organizations and evaluate how innovative knowledge generated by these institutions is considered (A4) Propose training programs to support the education of technicians and researchers in E4P for geohazards.

These actions aim to reduce structural gaps and promote evidence-based decision-making through the development of a regional database and map of geohazard events; advancing common proposals for improving policy briefs and guidelines that integrate geoscientific evidence into territorial planning and emergency protocols; strengthening institutional frameworks and promoting the establishment of standardized protocols for science–policy engagement; and implementing capacity-building programs and strategic dialogues to consolidate knowledge transfer.

This abstract was supported by the E4PIGEO project -Towards Evidence-Based Policies: Geohazard Management in Ibero-America in a Climate Change Context-, funded by Spanish National Research Council (CSIC) (Ref: LINCG24021), and developed within the framework of the Association of Ibero-American Geological and Mining Surveys (ASGMI).

How to cite: Sarro, R., Castellanos, E., Celli, A., Marín David, M., Verdecia, Y., Arcila, M., Choquenaira, G., Sánchez, J., Ahlers, L., Pino, I., Martínez-Corbella, M., Miranda, P., Vera, F., López-Vinielles, J., Carvalho, J., Chávez, R., Reina, J., Figueras, S., Buxó, P., and Antonelli, T. and the rest of Geohazard Expert Group (GEAG) from ASGMI: Bridging science and policy for geohazard management in Ibero-America through Geological and Mining Surveys, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9689, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9689, 2026.

X5.233
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EGU26-12458
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ECS
Jessica Poulton, Anna Elphick, Luke Roberts, and Rosie Oakes

Effective climate action depends on decision makers having access to science that is timely, relevant, and readily usable. UK government decision-makers work across diverse priorities and require support to rapidly upskill in new subject areas as scientific evidence evolves. Embedding climate science communicators within government bridges the gap between government evidence needs and the scientific community. By acting as knowledge brokers, secondees ensure decision makers have access to complex climate information that has been translated and tailored into meaningful department specific decision ready insights.

While previous studies recognise knowledge brokering as important for coproduction and stakeholder engagement, much of the literature remains conceptual. Our work contributes a practical case study on the benefits of embedding climate communication secondees across three UK government departments as part of the Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme (MOHCCP). These departments include (1) the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, (2) the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, and (3) the Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs. Secondees split their time evenly between MOHCCP and their UK government department, enabling them to maintain strong links to both scientific development and evolving policy needs.

Our findings show that integration into departmental teams while maintaining connection with MOHCCP is essential for early identification and understanding of evolving policy needs, translation of the latest emerging evidence into decision-ready storylines, and feedback into long-term MOHCCP research planning. Secondees help to strengthen cross departmental dialogue, broaden the reach of scientific expertise, and enable a dynamic push -pull of knowledge that improves clarity and uptake of climate information. The approach is now being trialled internationally in partnership with the World Meteorological Organisation, with promising early feedback.

This case study demonstrates a transferable model of science communication, where embedded knowledge brokers can accelerate evidence uptake and enable joined up climate decision making, a proven approach that could be replicated across countries and contexts with similar success.

How to cite: Poulton, J., Elphick, A., Roberts, L., and Oakes, R.: UK Government Climate Secondees: a case study in integrating climate intelligence into government decisions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12458, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12458, 2026.

X5.234
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EGU26-15776
Andy Wood

The US Secure Water Act of 2010 requires several US agencies to report to Congress every five years on future water-related mission vulnerabilities. Over the last 15 years, 21st century climate projection datasets from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects (CMIP) have been downscaled and used to drive hydrologic and streamflow scenarios across the Contiguous United States (CONUS).  The resulting datasets provide input for federal and state agency planning, guidance and policy, for water resources applications from watershed to regional scales, and for the climate-water research community. The advent of CMIP6 triggered the co-development of new, updated hydroclimate impact projections, which is now proceeding via a multi-agency effort that integrates researchers with stakeholders from US federal water, climate and energy agencies. Notably, the scientific approaches used in previous assessments have since revealed capability gaps that US agencies now seek to fill with newer, more robust methods and models. The need to address these gaps motivated a joint effort between US water agencies and researchers to strengthen the scientific underpinnings of the projections, the better to create more credible public datasets for use in agency planning and policy development. This work required creating new strategies for system vulnerability quantification, continental-scale process-based hydrological modelling, multi-decadal high-resolution surface meteorology, and water agency guided performance metrics to inform model training and evaluation. Several hundred CMIP6-based hydroclimate scenarios have been created and tailored to provide Earth system indicators directly linked to water agency planning needs. This presentation summarizes this hydroclimate dataset initiative and highlights the critical role of integrated researcher-stakeholder engagement in achieving fit-for-purpose and actionable large-domain hydroclimate outcomes.  

How to cite: Wood, A.: Filling the gaps: Co-designing hydroclimate projections to support US water security and policy initiatives, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15776, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15776, 2026.

X5.235
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EGU26-16539
Daniela I.V. Domeisen, Ana Maria Vicedo Cabrera, and Lint Barrage

Temperature extremes, including heatwaves and cold spells, can have severe societal consequences, notably increased mortality and morbidity. These health impacts place substantial strain on healthcare systems, leading to sudden surges in hospital admissions and heightened demand for inpatient beds. At the same time, temperature extremes are among the most predictable natural hazards, often identifiable with lead times of several weeks. Nevertheless, even countries with well-developed healthcare systems struggle to cope with the resulting burden. Consequently, multiple sectors could benefit from a deeper understanding of the process chain that links temperature extremes to health impacts and the resulting stresses on the healthcare system. Effective policies addressing temperature-related risks have the potential to support several sectors, but they require a well-established framework encompassing prediction, detection, early warning systems, integration with healthcare services, and an assessment of the associated additional costs. This contribution examines the extent to which this process chain is currently understood and identifies opportunities for further improvement.

How to cite: Domeisen, D. I. V., Vicedo Cabrera, A. M., and Barrage, L.: Temperature extremes in a changing climate: From early warnings to impacts on healthcare, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16539, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16539, 2026.

X5.236
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EGU26-16827
Antonella Peresan and Matteo Sema

This study explores the possibility of adopting a scenario based approach, which relies on the physical modelling of plausible hazardous events, to develop realistic site specific multi-risk storylines for urban contexts of different typologies (Marciano, Peresan, Pirni, Pittore, Tocchi, Zaccaria, 2024. IJDRR, 104972). Properly defining the hazard scenario and the urban context of interest, in fact, is essential for the development of risk storylines, as it enables the identification of relevant exposure features and local vulnerabilities affecting the urban system.

Physical modelling of earthquakes and cascading hazards (e.g. earthquake induced tsunamis or landslides), as well as sequential hazards (e.g. a storm surge followed by a tsunami) provides the basis for defining plausible (yet unobserved) multi-hazard and risk scenarios. For the definition of possible impacts, high-resolution exposure models are also needed at the local scale, especially for hazards which exhibit high spatial variability. In this study a methodology is considered, which allows developing high-resolution exposure models for population and residential buildings, based on different publicly available data sets (Badreldin, Scaini, Hassan, Peresan, 2025. IJDRR, 121, 105403).

The socio-economic characteristics and possible social vulnerabilities are also important factors that may influence impacts and the effectiveness of response and mitigation strategies. The experimental testing of the multi-risk storyline methodology was carried out for two selected urban areas along the Northern Adriatic coasts (i.e. Trieste and Lignano Sabbiadoro), considering both rather frequent (storm surge) and rare (tsunami) events. The proposed approach can be easily replicated in other urban areas with similar features, e.g. those located along the coasts of Western Adriatic (Peresan and Hassan, 2024. MEGR, 6(2), 87–110). The first phase of this experiment aimed to identify the potential impacts of the proposed scenarios on the different components of the urban ecosystem, while the second phase explored the possible interventions and mitigation strategies, in order to highlight relevant complexities and interactions. Through a participatory process, the multi-risk storylines engaged institutional actors, technical experts, and local communities, transforming data, experiences, and perceptions into dynamic and shared risk scenarios. The resulting narratives do not intend to merely describe past events, but rather to anticipate plausible future scenarios and viable response, recovery and mitigation actions, contributing towards integrated multi-risk management strategies.

The study demonstrated that the developed multi-risk storylines, based on plausible multi-hazard scenarios, provide a systematic method for exploring how the complex interplay between hazards and urban systems may impact a society, and can be applied to support and rationalise decision making and inform preparedness for multi-risks management and mitigation.

Acknowledgements: This research is a contribution to the RETURN Extended Partnership (European Union Next-Generation EU—National Recovery and Resilience Plan—NRRP, Mission 4, Component 2, Investment 1.3—D.D. 1243 2/8/2022, PE0000005).

How to cite: Peresan, A. and Sema, M.: Developing plausible scenario-based multi-risk storylines for coastal urban areas, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16827, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16827, 2026.

X5.237
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EGU26-16871
Axel E. Eriksson, David Collste, Reidun Gangstø, and Alexandre C. Köberle

Integrated assessment models (IAMs) play an increasingly important role in informing climate and sustainability policy, yet their complexity often limits transparency, interpretability and meaningful engagement beyond expert communities. FRIDA (Feedback-based knowledge Repository for IntegrateD Assessments) is a World-Earth system model developed with the explicit aim of increasing transparency and accessibility, in order to enable broader engagement with integrated assessment modelling and support evidence-based policy discussions. To explore how the model can be used in different contexts, for different purposes and with different actors, a variety of applications of FRIDA have been made with diverse actors using an interactive learning environment (ILE), workshop material and other tools for facilitated sessions using FRIDA.

 

In particular, the Exploring Futures workshop (Brussels, 5 June 2025), the DIAMOND General Assembly workshop (Oslo, 11 June 2025), the ISEE-Degrowth conference workshop (Oslo, 24 June 2025) and the Workshop on Climate Policy Assessment and Modelling (Brussels, 30 October 2025) all engaged relevant actors engaged in the science-policy interface in order to provide them with insights using FRIDA, as well as gather inputs for further development of FRIDA and the FRIDA Users’ Toolbox (where tools include the workshop formats and material, notably). In addition, there have been two iterations of a remote study circle, incorporation of FRIDA in the Bergen Summer Research School 2025, self-paced use of the ILE, and contributions to existing courses and other educational initiatives. Together, these applications illustrate how accessible modelling tools can enable engagement with complex system dynamics that are central to many policy discussions.

 

Overall, FRIDA shows promise in its use with a diversity of actors. Users have reported that the ILE feels both easily navigable and comprehensive in its indicators and levers. This suggests that using the ILE effectively enables users to run FRIDA themselves without possessing the significant technical knowledge needed to run the model directly. At the same time, numerous points of improvement remain, including intuitively showing causal relationships in the model and in what ways these might explain the results obtained when running FRIDA under different scenarios. In conclusion, the experiences of using FRIDA suggest that it is possible for a diversity of actors to engage with FRIDA and conceivably other World-Earth models using tailored approaches. To build on that potential, it is recommended to continue cultivating collaborations with other actors to enable the continuation and development of approaches to use FRIDA.

 

This work is supported by FCT, I.P./MCTES through national funds (PIDDAC): LA/P/0068/2020 - https://doi.org/10.54499/LA/P/0068/2020 , UID/50019/2025, https://doi.org/10.54499/UID/PRR/50019/2025, UID/PRR2/50019/2025. This work has also received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2.5 – Climate Energy and Mobility programme under grant agreement No. 101081661 through the 'WorldTrans – TRANSPARENT ASSESSMENTS FOR REAL PEOPLE' project.

How to cite: Eriksson, A. E., Collste, D., Gangstø, R., and Köberle, A. C.: Making the FRIDA World-Earth Model Accessible and Transparent for Real People, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16871, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16871, 2026.

X5.238
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EGU26-17402
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ECS
Lucia Sophie Layritz, Maya Zomer, Magali le Bruyn, Sam Pottinger, Nick Gondek, McKalee Steen, Maya Weltman-Fahs, Ciera Martinez, Kevin Koy, Fernando Pérez, Douglas McCauley, and Carl Boettiger

Having policy and regulation be based on the best available scientific evidence is a widely accepted goal, yet relevant knowledge often fails to reach those most in need due to gaps in data accessibility and technological barriers. We share our experience developing tangible, scalable tools that support policymakers, indigenous groups, and land managers in bringing science to the table when decisions are being made. These projects are united by common principles of participatory user-centered design, digital sovereignty, open-source software development, modern data science, and scientific integrity.

Specifically, we present three case studies across different governance scales: 1) At the international level, we discuss interactive decision support tools to facilitate science-based policymaking in the United Nations Montreal Protocol and Global Plastics Treaty. 2) At the national level, we present a stochastic, open-source simulation platform built in collaboration with the U.S. National Park Service. It enables land managers to model vegetation resilience and evaluate post-fire management scenarios under diverse future climate projections. 3) At the local level, we highlight custom-built, co-developed software to monitor cases of Indigenous land return alongside a biodiversity monitoring application for improved land management decision-making by Indigenous communities.

Across these projects, we will discuss lessons learned regarding the challenges of working with partners in highly interdisciplinary environments, how open science principles can be used to support community sovereignty instead of clashing with it, and the creation of resilient services that survive long-term regardless of infrastructure constraints or organizational change.

How to cite: Layritz, L. S., Zomer, M., le Bruyn, M., Pottinger, S., Gondek, N., Steen, M., Weltman-Fahs, M., Martinez, C., Koy, K., Pérez, F., McCauley, D., and Boettiger, C.: Removing barriers to science-informed decision-making through data science and human-centered design, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17402, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17402, 2026.

X5.239
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EGU26-18142
Sylvia Schmidt and Inga Menke

We co-develop mid-term (2020–2050) extreme yet plausible compound climatic–socioeconomic shock scenarios with EU sectoral experts and policymakers across the energy, finance, and health domains. Through engagements such as webinars and a structured 2-day workshop, participants prioritised hazard combinations including urban heatwaves, widespread drought followed by localised flooding, and global trade disruptions, reflecting perceptions on cascading risks across EU sectors. To anchor scenario design in current mitigation and policy debates, we presented a policy analysis which identified the “Mixed options” and “High renewable energy” pathways as the most relevant mitigation bases for stress tests, while clarifying adaptation-relevant trade-offs implied by each. Through continued iteration of the exercise, participant elicitation also presented policy-critical impacts that are of high interest, though challenging to represent in models—such as limits to health-sector adaptation measures; rising mental health burdens; distributional impacts and inequality (via food prices, property values, and insurability); and potential escalation of conflict risk external to the EU. We therefore synthesise recent peer-reviewed evidence to (i) summarise the evidence base on these stakeholder-defined concerns to complement quantitative modelling results and (ii) identify EU policy options to strengthen resilience to the co-developed compound shocks. We also highlight practical lessons from the engagement process—including how policymaker perceptions were prompted, how scientific outputs will be tailored for policy usability, where methodological gaps emerge, and the remaining steps for validation and delivery in decision-relevant formats.

How to cite: Schmidt, S. and Menke, I.: From co-developed EU compound shocks to policy options: reviewing impacts for stress testing and resilience, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18142, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18142, 2026.

X5.240
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EGU26-18624
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ECS
Mojtaba Shafiei, Mohammad Gharesifard, Brian Thomas, Nazimul Islam, Stephan Dietrich, Matjaž Mikoš, Taha Ouarda, Zahra Abdollahi, Seyedeh Simin Mirhashemi Dehkordi, Hamidreza Mosaffa, Thom Bogaard, and Salvatore Grimaldi

Water plays a central connecting role within the climate system, linking meteorological, hydrological, and earth system processes with societal dimensions such as water resource demands and risks associated with pollution, droughts, and floods. Global water challenges are addressed through multiple international agendas related to sustainable development, climate change, biodiversity, and water security. While these agendas share broadly aligned objectives, they differ in scope, scale, and modes of operationalization. Together, they shape how scientific knowledge is mobilized, policies are formulated, and actions are implemented. As the 2030 Agenda approaches its conclusion, there is a growing need to review and map global water agendas in order to better understand their interactions and support more coherent responses to complex water challenges.

Rather than viewing global water agendas as parallel and independent efforts, they can be understood as interconnected learning pathways through which shared objectives, knowledge, and practical experience evolve over time. From this perspective, synergies emerge across these learning pathways through reflection, coordination, and exchange between science, policy, and practice. Clarifying how such synergies can be recognized, supported, and strengthened is therefore essential for advancing more integrated and impactful responses to global water challenges.

The Strategic UN Synergy Working Group (SUN) operates within the IAHS HELPING Science for Solutions Decade (2023–2032) and aims to strengthen the contribution of hydrological science to international policy processes and practical implementation programmes. Guided by the HELPING paradigm, SUN facilitates bottom-up engagement, open science, and co-creation principles to support learning across scales and the translation of hydrological knowledge into policy and action.

This contribution introduces the vision, structure, and core activities of the SUN Working Group, with a focus on understanding global water agendas and supporting synergies through a science–policy–practice approach. SUN builds on the understanding of global water agendas as interconnected learning pathways, and we will illustrate how coordinated learning pathways can help advance more coherent, integrated, and future-oriented global water agenda.

How to cite: Shafiei, M., Gharesifard, M., Thomas, B., Islam, N., Dietrich, S., Mikoš, M., Ouarda, T., Abdollahi, Z., Mirhashemi Dehkordi, S. S., Mosaffa, H., Bogaard, T., and Grimaldi, S.: Charting Synergies in Global Water Agendas: A Strategic Science–Policy–Practice Approach, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18624, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18624, 2026.

X5.241
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EGU26-19905
Sarah Moller, John Newington, and Daniel Bryant

Air pollution is the greatest environmental risk to human health1, affecting almost every system in the body and at every stage of life2. It also damages ecosystems and leads to biodiversity loss. Science has played a central role in demonstrating the need for action and in developing air quality standards and policies to deliver progress. In the UK there are well-established mechanisms for providing science advice for policy, including Chief Scientific Advisers (CSA) in each government department, and a network of science advisory councils and expert groups. The Department for the Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) is the government department responsible for national air quality policy and coordination in the UK, and they have a CSA, a science advisory council and the Air Quality Expert Group (AQEG). Despite these structures, academics have struggled to see how their research can reach policy makers or have an impact on policy development.

For the past 13 years I have worked with Defra, embedded in their air pollution team, as a knowledge broker funded through fellowships, seconded to the Chief Scientific Adviser’s Office, and on their Air Quality Expert Group. I initially observed that interactions between academics and policy officials were primarily transactional, often failing to deliver the anticipated value. Through the insights provided by my roles bridging the two communities I have enabled a transformation in how Defra approaches interactions with both the air pollution research community and research funders, resulting in better access to and uptake of science evidence and expertise. I also worked with the AQEG to transition its mode of operation from providing large authoritative reviews of science to providing more accessible, responsive and agile policy advice.

In this presentation I will provide insights from my experience, including what enabled my work to have the impact that it has, how transformations came about, and some examples of the opportunities for policy impact that arose. There is a danger that, with reduced funding availability and increasing time pressures, ways of working begin to regress. I suggest that this would be counterproductive and in fact a strengthening of knowledge exchange mechanisms and relationships at this time would be beneficial to both researchers and policy makers.  

  • United Nations Environment Programme, UNEP, https://www.unep.org/topics/air
  • Royal College of Physicians, A breath of fresh air: responding to the health challenges of modern air pollution. RCP, 2025.

How to cite: Moller, S., Newington, J., and Bryant, D.: Bridging the Gap: Transforming science advice for air pollution policy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19905, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19905, 2026.

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EGU26-20613
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ECS
Thomas Harvey, Megan O'Donnell, and Katie Jones

The Geological Society is the UK’s professional body and learned society for geoscience, supporting a global community of geoscientists. By operating a diverse programme of activities, the Society supports geoscientists to conduct and disseminate their work in a range of ways. This facilitates varied pathways for specialist knowledge to have impact, both within the scientific community and with non-specialist audiences.

The Society maintains a high-impact science programme comprising novel thematic meetings, interdisciplinary conferences, research workshops, and research grant funding. We seek to foster collaboration within and out of the geoscience community by bringing together researchers, practitioners, technicians, citizen scientists, policymakers, funders, and representatives from government and Parliament.

Through the substantial body of expertise held by members of the organisation, the Society works to ensure geoscience is represented in public policymaking through a range of opportunities that geoscientists can engage with. These approaches vary from re-active to proactive, as well as in the degree to which scientists are directly exposed to policymakers. These include opportunities to contribute evidence to support policy such as drafting briefing notes, providing direct evidence to decision makers, participation in communities of interest or practice, and participation at policy relevant meetings to connect with stakeholders.

Whilst these opportunities are accessed by many in the community, there are barriers that limit engagement from scientists of certain groups within the community. This may result from unclear framing of opportunities, lesser representation or engagement of certain groups, or lack of exposure and/or resource to prioritise engagement of this type.

In order to ensure robust and inclusive scientific evidence for policy, it is important to understand how these barriers vary across different types of policy work, and between organisations, with a view to improving transparency and widening participation from the community.

How to cite: Harvey, T., O'Donnell, M., and Jones, K.: Pathways to impact through policy: opportunities and barriers for geoscientists, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20613, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20613, 2026.

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