Hydroclimatic extremes such as floods, droughts, storms, or heatwaves often affect large regions and can cluster in time, therefore causing large socio-economic damages. Hazard and risk assessments, aiming at reducing the negative consequences of such extreme events, are often performed with a focus on one location despite their spatially compounding nature. Also, temporal clustering of extremes is often neglected, with potentially severe underestimation of hazard. While spatial-temporal extremes receive a lot of attention by the media, it remains scientifically and technically challenging to assess their risk by modelling approaches.
This session aims to explore advances in the study and modeling of hydroclimatic extremes, embracing a broad perspective that includes—but is not limited to—their spatial and temporal characteristics. Key challenges include the definition of multivariate and compound events; the quantification of uncertainties, of spatial and temporal dependence together with the introduction of flexible dependence structures; the identification and integration of physical drivers and processes across scales; the handling of high-dimensional data and the estimation of occurrence probabilities.
We welcome contributions that enhance our understanding of the mechanisms driving hydroclimatic extremes, propose innovative modeling frameworks, or offer new insights into the prediction, attribution, and risk assessment of these events across space and time. Studies addressing extremes from statistical, physical, or interdisciplinary perspectives are particularly encouraged.
Sergiy Vorogushyn